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欧州ヒートポンプKEYMARK集団データセットと寒冷地向け建物シミュレーション用COPモデル

European Heat Pump Keymark Population Dataset and COP Models for Cold-Climate Building Simulation (原題)

Võsa, Karl-Villem, Simson, Raimo, Mikola, Alo, Kurnitski, Jarek

Zenodoデータセット2026-08-20#エネルギー転換Origin: EU経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: construction
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.22029915
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/22029915

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

欧州のヒートポンプKEYMARK認証データを統計処理し、空気熱源ヒートポンプの集団COPモデルを構築。EN 14825に基づくSCOP検証とエストニアの気候データを用いた建物シミュレーション用の変換コードを提供する。

English

A statistical treatment of the European Heat Pump KEYMARK certification corpus yields population-level COP models for air-to-water heat pumps, validated against EN 14825 SCOP, with Estonian climate data and conversion code for dynamic building simulation.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本ではヒートポンプの効率評価が重要であり、本データセットは寒冷地での性能予測に活用できる。SSBJや省エネ基準の検討にも参考になる。

In the global GX context

This dataset supports global efforts to model heat pump performance in cold climates, relevant for building decarbonization and energy efficiency policies aligned with TCFD and ISSB disclosure.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a validated population COP model and dataset for heat pump simulation research.

🏢実務担当者:Useful for building energy modelers and heat pump manufacturers to improve performance predictions.

🏛政策担当者:Informs energy efficiency standards and heat pump deployment strategies in cold regions.

📄 Abstract(原文)

A statistical-population treatment of the European Heat Pump KEYMARK certification corpus for air-to-water heat pumps: deduplicated test-point data, population-scale EN 14825 SCOP validation, mixed-effects population COP models with per-product uncertainty, Estonian climate-transfer data, building archetype load profiles, and standalone conversion code for dynamic building energy simulation. Version 2 (August 2026) — release accompanying the revised method article: two anchoring modes (shape-only and backup-aware) implemented and documented in the code; capacity-interpolation Step 4; floor-aware numerical anchoring solve; corrected code constants; new validation/ scripts (out-of-sample error tables, backup-share population, anchored spread, rating-schedule check); a temporal hold-out on a 20 August 2026 Keymark snapshot (66 snapshot-unseen models; derived cohort and error data included, model not refitted) with a deposit-only replay script; IDA ICE consistency-check meter files; automated tests reproducing the worked example. Data files and fitted models are unchanged and remain frozen to the 18 March 2026 snapshot. Contents models/ — Mixed-effects population COP models of the Log+InvSqrt form COP = β₂ + β₀·ln(ΔT) + β₁/√ΔT, with per-product random effects. All-climate variant (53,551 EN 14825 test points, 3,395 heat-pump groups: β₀ = −1.8528, β₁ = +18.0463, β₂ = +7.2602) and cold-only variant (11,397 Colder-zone points, 979 groups: β₀ = −2.5819, β₁ = +6.6052, β₂ = +11.7252), plus functional-form comparison tables. scop_validation/ — Batch EN 14825 bin-method SCOP recalculation for 26,478 valid configuration×climate×supply-temperature rows (declared vs recalculated SCOP and deviations); implementation validated against the EN 14825:2018 Annex H reference example (3.60 vs 3.61). training_data/ — The 53,551 deduplicated EN 14825 part-load test points (COP vs temperature lift, with supply temperature, climate zone, and group identifiers) used for model training. climate/ — Estonian test reference year (1990–2020) heating-season hours mapped to 1 °C bins alongside the EN 14825 Colder template, with part-load factors and population COP per bin; population SCOP shape factors under both climates. archetypes/ — Synthetic hourly space-heating and DHW load profiles for two Estonian single-family-house archetypes (pre-retrofit and nZEB), with parameter manifests. code/ — Standalone Python implementations of the EN 14825 bin-method SCOP calculator and the four-step SCOP→hourly-COP conversion (heating curve → population COP shape → α-rescaling → capacity-aware piecewise operation) for dynamic building simulation. Provenance and rights. All quantities are derived from the publicly available Heat Pump KEYMARK certification database ( https://keymark.eu/ , accessed 18 March 2026 (population models and training data are frozen to that snapshot; a separate temporal hold-out uses a later snapshot retrieved 20 August 2026, from which only derived cohort and error data are included, without refitting)). The deposit is not a verbatim copy of that registry: it contains the authors’ deduplicated, harmonised, quality-screened, and computed compilation in the authors’ own structure. Declared certificate values embedded in the derived tables are factual technical data published by the certification scheme for market transparency; any database rights of the scheme owner in the original registry are unaffected by this deposit. Licensing. Derived data (CSV/JSON): CC BY 4.0, applying to the authors’ compilation, structure, and computed content. Code ( code/ ): MIT License. Funding. Estonian Research Council grant PRG2154; Estonian Centre of Excellence in Energy Efficiency, ENER (grant TK230), funded by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research; research infrastructure “Energy efficiency and renewable energy research infrastructure” (TARISTU24-TK12). A peer-reviewed journal article by the authors describes the methodology and findings in detail; its reference will be linked in this record once available. Please cite this deposit via its concept DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20627396 (resolves to the latest version).

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