Effect of climate change on agricultural product in Nigeria
気候変動がナイジェリアの農産物に与える影響 (AI 翻訳)
Lukman Lawali, Hamza Namadina
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、1986年から2024年までのナイジェリアの農業生産に対する気候変動の影響をARDLモデルで分析。長期的には食料生産、降雨、炭素排出が農業生産に正の影響を与え、インフレは負の影響。短期的には炭素排出が有意。適応戦略の重要性を強調。
English
This study uses the ARDL approach to analyze the impact of climate change on agricultural production in Nigeria from 1986 to 2024. Long-term findings show that food production, rainfall, and carbon emissions significantly boost agricultural output, while inflation has a negligible negative effect. Short-term results highlight the persistent role of carbon emissions. The study emphasizes the need for targeted adaptation strategies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
ナイジェリアを対象とするが、気候変動が農業生産に与える影響の分析手法や適応政策の示唆は、日本の農業分野における気候リスク管理や適応策の検討にも参考となる。
In the global GX context
While focused on Nigeria, the paper provides empirical evidence on climate-agriculture linkages that informs global adaptation and food security discussions, particularly relevant for developing economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the long-run relationship between climate variables and agricultural output in a developing country context.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the importance of emission-reduction policies and climate-smart agriculture for food security in vulnerable regions.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to empirically investigate the impact of climate change on agricultural production in Nigeria between 1986 and 2024. The inflation rate, food production, annual rainfall, and carbon emissions are the model's primary explanatory variables. Long-term findings show that food production, rainfall, and carbon emissions all have a significant positive impact on agricultural output, while inflation has a negligible negative impact. In the short term, carbon emissions remain a significant determinant, while rainfall and food production have mixed and largely insignificant effects. The findings support the existence of a long-run relationship between the variables, emphasising the importance of climate change dynamics in shaping agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Although climate variability poses a threat to agricultural stability, the study concludes that targeted adaptation strategies can mitigate negative consequences while also promoting food security. It promotes climate-friendly agricultural practices, emission-reduction policies, farmer assistance programs, and a comprehensive climate-agriculture policy framework.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.65453/ajbmr.153.1513first seen 2026-07-23 04:55:48
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