Maintaining security of power supply in the context of technological change driven by low-carbon transition
低炭素移行による技術変化の文脈における電力供給の安全保障の維持 (AI 翻訳)
Yi Zhou, Jian Han, Yang Qu, Max Collett, Michael Grubb, Simon Sharpe, Yantong Liu, Jun-ling Huang, Da Zhang
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
中国の電力システムが化石燃料から高比率の変動再生可能エネルギー（VRE）へ移行する中で、電力供給の安全保障を維持するための課題を分析。Causal Loop Diagram（CLD）を用いて、VRE導入、貯蔵利用、容量報酬の間の動的フィードバックを解明し、政策介入のレバレッジポイントを特定。中国の石炭容量支払いと英国の技術中立型容量市場を比較し、柔軟性インセンティブと脱炭素目標の調整に関する洞察を提供。競争的で技術中立な容量市場の確立、電力市場改革の深化、排出量上限と炭素価格フロアの導入、戦略的予備力の創設を提案。
English
This study analyzes challenges to maintaining electricity supply security during China's transition from fossil fuels to high-penetration variable renewable energy (VRE). Using Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) method, it identifies dynamic feedback mechanisms between VRE deployment, storage utilization, and capacity remuneration, and pinpoints leverage points for policy intervention. Contrasting China's coal capacity payments with the UK's technology-neutral capacity market, it proposes coordinated reforms: establishing competitive technology-neutral capacity markets, deepening electricity market reforms to create diversified revenue streams for storage, implementing emissions caps and carbon price floors, and creating strategic reserves for grid reliability.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本の電力市場改革（容量市場の導入、需給調整市場）や、再生可能エネルギーの大量導入に伴う供給力確保の議論に示唆を与える。特に、技術中立型の容量市場と炭素価格の組み合わせは、日本のGX政策（GX経済移行債、排出量取引）の設計に参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to global discourse on capacity market design and flexibility incentives in low-carbon transitions. Its comparative analysis of China and the UK offers insights for countries implementing capacity mechanisms alongside carbon pricing, relevant to ISSB-aligned disclosure and transition finance discussions.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a systems-thinking framework (CLD) for analyzing capacity mechanisms and flexibility in power systems.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the need for diversified revenue streams for storage and demand-side response, informing investment strategies.
🏛政策担当者:Offers concrete policy recommendations for capacity market design and carbon pricing to ensure supply security during transition.
📄 Abstract（原文）
China’s power system is transitioning from fossil fuels to high-penetration variable renewable energy (VRE), challenging traditional models of electricity supply security. This challenge stems from two interconnected issues: the economic viability of coal plants under declining utilization rates, and the system’s escalating flexibility requirements. This study applies the Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) method to unravel dynamic feedback mechanisms between VRE deployment, storage utilization, and capacity remuneration, identifying leverage points for policy intervention. By contrasting China’s coal capacity payments with the UK’s technology-neutral capacity market, we derive profound insights for coordinating flexibility incentives and decarbonization goals. This study focuses on how to maintain electricity supply security while managing the orderly phase-out of coal power. Analysis reveals that the current capacity compensation mechanism has potential drawbacks, including the exclusion of emerging flexible resources, the risk of overinvestment. Based on this, we propose that China implement coordinated reforms across following domains: First, establish competitive, technology-neutral capacity markets to incentivize investments in flexible resources like energy storage and demand-side response. Second, deepen electricity market reforms to create diversified revenue streams for energy storage through energy trading, ancillary services, and capacity mechanisms. Third, implementing a fixed cap on emissions and introducing a carbon price floor to accelerate the phase-out of inefficient coal power. Finally, create strategic reserves to ensure grid reliability during extreme events, thereby strengthening system resilience throughout the energy transition.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.26599/ecm.2026.9400033first seen 2026-05-27 04:43:59 · last seen 2026-06-17 07:06:25
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