The Impact of Agricultural Sector Growth on Total National Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Southeast Asia
東南アジアにおける農業セクターの成長が総国家温室効果ガス排出に与える影響 (AI 翻訳)
Eka Nurjati, Septian Adityawati
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この研究は、ASEAN6カ国の1997-2019年のパネルデータを用い、温室効果ガス排出の決定要因を分析。固定効果モデルにより、森林面積と人口規模が排出量に正の有意な影響を与え、肥料消費などは有意でないことを示した。持続可能な土地利用と森林ガバナンスの重要性を強調している。
English
This study analyzes determinants of greenhouse gas emissions in six ASEAN countries from 1997-2019 using panel data. Results show that forest area and population size positively and significantly impact emissions, while fertilizer consumption, agricultural land, livestock, and GDP are not significant. The findings highlight land-use dynamics and demographic pressures, emphasizing sustainable land management and forest governance.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文は東南アジアの排出要因を実証的に示しており、日本企業のサプライチェーン管理やASEAN向け環境協力の優先分野を考える上で示唆を与える。森林面積が排出増に寄与するという結果は、単純な森林保全策の限界を示唆する。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on GHG emission drivers in developing ASEAN economies, relevant for global climate policy debates. The finding that forest area expansion does not guarantee emission reduction questions the effectiveness of forest-based offsets and underscores the need for integrated land-use policies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Empirical evidence on emission determinants in ASEAN; useful for comparative studies on developing country emissions.
🏢実務担当者:Provides insights for companies with agricultural supply chains in Southeast Asia regarding emission drivers.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for integrated land-use and population policies to mitigate emissions in ASEAN.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The agricultural sector plays a significant role in greenhouse gas emissions, particularly in developing countries within the ASEAN region. Despite ASEAN’s status as a group of emerging economies, environmental pressures continue to increase alongside economic and demographic growth. This study aims to examine the determinants of greenhouse gas emissions in six ASEAN countries—Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar, the Philippines, and Malaysia—using panel data from 1997 to 2019 obtained from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators (WDI). Employing a robust fixed-effects model to address heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation, the results reveal that forest area and population size have a positive and statistically significant impact on greenhouse gas emissions, while fertilizer consumption, agricultural land, livestock production, and gross domestic product (GDP) are not statistically significant. These findings indicate that environmental degradation in ASEAN is driven by land-use dynamics and demographic pressures. The positive effect of forest area suggests that increases in forest coverage do not necessarily translate into lower emissions, likely due to forest degradation, deforestation, and land conversion. Meanwhile, the significant role of population highlights the increasing demand for resources, energy, and food as key drivers of emissions. Therefore, this study emphasizes the importance of strengthening sustainable land-use management, improving forest governance, and enhancing resource efficiency.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.30564/jees.v8i5.13315first seen 2026-05-14 22:40:34
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