脱炭素化、エネルギー転換、経済レジリエンス：ネットゼロと持続可能な開発に向けた西アフリカの政策方向性
Decarbonization, Energy Transition, and Economic Resilience: West African Policy Directions towards Net-Zero and Sustainable Development (原題)
Akindele John Ogunsola, Omowumi Omodunni Idowu, Taiwo Owoeye
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
2000〜2023年の西アフリカ16カ国を対象に、エネルギー転換と経済レジリエンスが脱炭素化に与える影響を分析。再生可能エネルギー消費はGHG・CO2排出を有意に削減するが、エネルギー集約度と化石燃料依存の電化は排出を増加させる。閾値分析では、GDP成長への顕著な効果は再生可能エネルギーが最終エネルギー消費の88.6%を超えた場合に現れ、排出削減はGHGで46.2%、CO2で77.1%の閾値から始まる。
English
This study analyzes 16 West African countries from 2000 to 2023, examining how energy transition and economic resilience affect decarbonization. Renewable energy consumption significantly reduces GHG and CO2 emissions, while energy intensity and fossil-fuel-based electrification increase them. Threshold analysis reveals that significant GDP growth benefits only emerge when renewables surpass 88.6% of final energy consumption, while emission reductions begin at more conservative thresholds of 46.2% for GHG and 77.1% for CO2.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本ではSSBJ開示やGX推進政策が進むが、本論文は途上国における再生可能エネルギー導入の閾値と経済成長の関係を示し、日本の国際協力や海外展開における投資判断の参考になり得る。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on renewable energy thresholds for economic growth and emission reductions in West Africa, contributing to global understanding of energy transition dynamics in developing regions. It offers insights for international climate finance and policy design, complementing TCFD/ISSB-aligned disclosure frameworks that require understanding of transition risks and opportunities across geographies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides novel empirical evidence on renewable energy thresholds and nonlinear effects of economic resilience on decarbonization in West Africa.
🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for companies investing in West African renewable energy projects regarding potential growth and emission reduction thresholds.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the importance of macroeconomic resilience and institutional support in achieving decarbonization benefits, informing regional policy design.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study examines the relationships between decarbonization, energy transition and economic resilience across 16 West African countries from 2000 to 2023. Three complementary econometric strategies are employed: an interactive fixed effect (IFE) model, panel quantile regression and panel smooth transition regression (PSTR). The study pursues three objectives: (i) to investigate the effect of energy transition on greenhouse gas (GHG) and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions; (ii) to examine how fiscal, macroeconomic, financial and external sector resilience dimensions shape decarbonization outcomes across the emissions distribution; and (iii) to identify the renewable energy threshold at which energy transition generates significant GDP growth benefits. Renewable energy consumption significantly reduces both GHG and CO₂ emissions, while energy intensity and fossil-fuel-dependent electrification raise them. Economic resilience dimensions produce heterogeneous and nonlinear effects that depend on pollutant type and emission intensity. Threshold analysis identifies that a remarkable increase in GDP growth might only start when renewables considerably surpass 88.6% of total final energy consumption, whereas the onset of emission reductions takes place at more conservative thresholds of 46.2% for GHG and 77.1% for CO₂. Macroeconomic resilience is always on the side of the high-transition regime. These results underscore the fact that rewards from the green economic revolution are thus a government, financial and institutional dividend along with the renewable energy scale deployment, that is, decarbonization at scale. The paper contributes an integrated regional analysis, which is currently absent from the West African energy transition literature.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22008063first seen 2026-09-08 04:37:09 · last seen 2026-09-10 04:35:34
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