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気候変動がEUの移民動態に与える影響:課題と将来展望

The Impact of Climate Change on Migration Dynamics in the European Union: Challenges and Future Perspectives (原題)

Yakubova Iroda

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-10#気候科学Origin: EU
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21875498
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21875498

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は気候変動がEUの移民動態に与える影響を、理論的枠組み・実証的傾向・政策対応の観点から質的に分析する。気候変動は脅威の増幅要因として社会経済的不平等や政治的不安定性と相互作用し、EU域内外の人口移動を促進する。政策の断片化や環境避難民の法的保護の欠如などの課題を指摘し、適応強化と統合的ガバナンス構築を提言する。

English

This paper qualitatively analyzes how climate change shapes EU migration dynamics, examining theoretical frameworks, empirical trends, and policy responses. It argues that climate change acts as a threat multiplier, interacting with socioeconomic inequalities and political instability. It identifies challenges such as policy fragmentation and legal protection gaps for environmentally displaced persons, and proposes strategic paths for adaptation and unified governance.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では気候変動による国内・国際人口移動は喫緊の政策課題ではないが、災害リスク管理や地域適応策の文脈で示唆に富む。EUの政策調整の教訓は、日本の気候安全保障や国土計画に参考になり得る。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global discourse on climate-induced mobility, a growing concern under climate adaptation frameworks. It highlights governance gaps that are relevant to international policy discussions, though it lacks quantitative rigor.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:気候変動と移民の関連性に関する理論的整理と政策課題の俯瞰に有用。

🏛政策担当者:気候変動適応政策と移民・難民政策の連携の必要性を示唆。

📄 Abstract(原文)

Climate change has emerged as a defining global challenge of the twenty-first century, deeply altering economic systems, environmental sustainability, human security, and human mobility. Environmental degradation, rising temperatures, sea-level rise, and escalating extreme weather events increasingly drive population movements both within and across national borders. While traditionally viewed primarily as a destination for international migrants, the European Union (EU) faces growing climate-induced mobility pressures from both internal shifts and external inflows. Rather than acting as an isolated, direct cause, climate change operates as a threat multiplier, such as interacting with existing socioeconomic inequalities, political instability, localized labor dynamics, and demographic trends. This article evaluates how climate change shapes EU migration dynamics by analyzing contemporary theoretical frameworks, empirical trends, and policy responses. Adopting a qualitative methodology rooted in literature analysis and secondary data from international institutions, this paper maps the core challenges facing the EU, including policy fragmentation, legal protection gaps for environmentally displaced persons, and regional disparities. Finally, it outlines strategic paths to strengthen climate adaptation and build unified migration governance mechanisms within the European framework.

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