Financial analysis of sulphur abatement measures in compliance with maritime regulation
船舶規制に準拠した硫黄低減対策の財務分析 (AI 翻訳)
Kazi Khaled Mahmud, Mohammed Mojahid Hossain Chowdhury, M. Shaheen, Z. H. Munim, Tien Anh Tran
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、907TEUおよび3000TEUのフィーダーコンテナ船を対象に、スクラバー設置と超低硫黄油（VLSFO）への切り替えという2つの硫黄低減対策の正味現在価値（NPV）を比較した。燃料価格や積載率などの変動下での感度分析も実施。その結果、907TEU船ではスクラバーが経済的寿命9.5年以上で有利であり、3000TEU船ではVLSFOが全期間で有利であることが示された。地中海排出規制海域の施行を前に、船主への実践的示唆を提供する。
English
This study compares the net present value (NPV) of scrubber installation vs. very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) switching for two feeder container vessels (907 TEU and 3,000 TEU) under various operational and market scenarios. Sensitivity analysis under volatile fuel prices and costs shows that scrubbers are advantageous for the 907 TEU vessel if its economic lifespan exceeds 9.5 years, while VLSFO is always better for the 3,000 TEU vessel. The findings provide actionable insights for shipowners ahead of the Mediterranean Sea emission control area enforcement, highlighting mixed compliance strategies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本は世界有数の海運国であり、IMO規制への対応は日本船主にとって重要な課題。本研究成果は、硫黄低減対策の経済性評価を通じて、日本企業のコスト効率的なコンプライアンス戦略の策定に寄与する。地中海ECA施行を控え、国際的な規制動向を踏まえた実務的な知見を提供する。
In the global GX context
As a major shipping nation, Japan's shipowners face significant compliance costs under IMO sulphur regulations. This study's quantitative comparison of scrubbers and VLSFO provides practical guidance for optimizing compliance strategies, especially with the upcoming Mediterranean Sea emission control area. The mixed compliance approach may inform global shipping firms' decisions under volatile fuel prices and tightening regulations.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a quantitative framework for NPV-based comparison of abatement options under uncertainty, applicable to other vessel types or regulations.
🏢実務担当者:Offers actionable cost-benefit analysis for shipowners to decide between scrubber installation and fuel switching based on vessel size and operational lifespan.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for flexible regulatory pathways that accommodate mixed compliance strategies, relevant for IMO and regional ECA policymakers.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The study aimed to determine the compliance cost by comparing the net present value (NPV) of two sulphur abatement options, scrubber installation and very low sulphur oil (VLSFO) switching, with the case study of 907 TEUs and 3,000 TEU feeder container vessels while operating on distinct liner shipping routes. This study adopted quantitative methodology to compare the NPV associated with utilizing VLSFO vs. installing scrubbers to comply with IMO sulphur requirements on two case study feeder vessel scenarios. Besides, sensitivity assessment of the findings was performed under volatile fuel prices, loading factors, freight rates and scrubber costs. The study outcome reveals that retrofitting the 907 TEU container vessel with a scrubber is more financially advantageous when the economic lifespan of the vessel is above 9.5 years. In contrast, VLSFO is the most economically viable option for 3,000 TEU vessels in its entire lifespan. Besides, fuel switching is a cost-effective alternative for 907 TEU vessels while the price spread between VLSFO and high sulphur fuel oil is 147 dollars or less. This study primarily evaluated shipowners’ compliance costs between fuel switching and scrubber installation. Alternative options – such as wind, solar, fuel cells, battery charging and alternative fuels – were excluded due to barriers including limited infrastructure, technological maturity, availability and high retrofitting costs. The outcomes will enhance the shipping industry's economic performance and competitiveness, reducing costs and risks and identifying opportunities for increased efficiency, innovation and market differentiation while preparing for future regulatory requirements. The study's novelty lies in its quantitative assessment of sulphur abatement techniques tailored to feeder container vessels, with a focus on NPV under varied operational and market scenarios. Additionally, it provides actionable insights for ship owners ahead of the Mediterranean Sea emission control area enforcement, emphasizing mixed compliance strategies.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.1108/mabr-03-2025-0027first seen 2026-06-29 06:19:46
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