Backlash at the ballot box: Electoral repercussions of climate activism
投票箱での反発：気候活動の選挙への影響 (AI 翻訳)
Quynh Nga, Pushkar Maitra
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、オーストラリアでの気候活動（Stop-Adani抗議車列）が2019年連邦選挙に与えた影響を分析。抗議デモにさらされた地域では、保守派の得票が増加し、環境派の得票が減少した。特に鉱業依存度の高い地域で影響が顕著であり、グリーン移行のコストが集中する地域での政治的バックラッシュを示した。
English
This paper studies the electoral impact of climate activism using the Stop-Adani convoy in Australia. It finds that exposure to the protest increased conservative vote share and decreased Green vote share, concentrated in mining-dependent areas. This demonstrates that environmental activism can trigger localized political backlash where transition costs are high.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本の気候活動（例：石炭火力反対デモ）にも同様のバックラッシュが生じる可能性があり、政策立案者は市民の受容性を考慮する必要がある。
In the global GX context
This paper provides evidence of how environmental protests can backfire politically, which is relevant for global climate policy and campaign strategies as the green transition advances.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Shows that climate activism can have unintended political consequences, important for understanding public response to transition policies.
🏢実務担当者:NGOs and campaigners should anticipate potential backlash in communities with economic dependence on fossil fuels.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need to design just transition measures to mitigate political opposition from affected regions.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This paper examines the political consequences of climate activism during the ongoing global energy transition. We exploit the quasi-experimental setup offered by the Stop-Adani convoy, a multi-week environmental protest that traversed Australia’s Eastern states in the lead-up to the 2019 federal election, in opposition to the proposed development of a large coal mine. Our findings show that exposure to the convoy increased the (more conservative) Coalition’s vote share while reducing support for the (environmentalist) Greens party. These effects are concentrated in areas with high dependence on mining employment, particularly in Queensland and other mining-intensive regions. Our results demonstrate that environmental activism can trigger significant political backlash, localised precisely where the perceived material costs of the green transition are most concentrated.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2026.102872first seen 2026-07-18 05:19:20
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gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。