フィリピンにおける電力消費、エネルギー構造、FDI、経済成長、炭素排出の動学的関係：ARDLアプローチによる証拠
Dynamic nexus between electricity consumption, energy structure, FDI, economic growth, and carbon emissions in the Philippines: Evidence from the ARDL approach (原題)
Thi Thu Trang Nguyen, Thi Thu Trang Nguyen, Pham Xuan Hoa, Thu Nguyen Thi Phuong, Vu Ngoc Xuan, Thi Thu Trang Nguyen, Thi Thu Trang Nguyen
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
1990〜2023年のフィリピンのデータを用い、電力消費、化石燃料依存、再生可能エネルギー導入、FDI、経済成長が炭素排出に与える影響をARDLモデルで分析。長期的な均衡関係を確認し、化石燃料消費が排出の主因である一方、再生可能エネルギーは排出削減に寄与することを示した。経済成長と電力消費は環境圧力を高めるが、FDIは排出への直接影響はない。エネルギー構造の転換が排出削減に最も効果的と結論。
English
Using Philippine data from 1990-2023, this study applies an ARDL model to examine the impacts of electricity consumption, fossil fuel dependency, renewable energy adoption, FDI, and economic growth on carbon emissions. It finds a long-run equilibrium relationship, with fossil fuel consumption as the main driver of emissions and renewable energy contributing to mitigation. Economic growth and electricity consumption increase environmental pressure, while FDI has no significant direct impact. The study concludes that transforming the energy structure is the most effective pathway to emission reduction.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX政策（GX推進法、エネルギー基本計画）において、新興国のエネルギー転換の実証分析は、日本の技術輸出や国際協力の参考となる。特に、電力需要抑制ではなくエネルギー構造転換の重要性を示す点は、日本の省エネ政策との比較示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This study provides empirical evidence on the energy-economy-environment nexus in an emerging economy, relevant to global discussions on energy transition and climate policy. It underscores the importance of shifting energy structure over demand restriction, offering insights for developing countries and international climate finance.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the energy-economy-environment nexus in the Philippines, useful for comparative studies on energy transition in emerging economies.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the role of renewable energy in emission reduction, informing corporate energy procurement and sustainability strategies in similar markets.
🏛政策担当者:Offers policy-relevant evidence that transforming energy structure is more effective than restricting electricity demand, guiding energy and climate policy design.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Understanding the interactions among energy consumption, economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI), and environmental quality is essential for achieving sustainable development in emerging economies. Although numerous studies have examined these relationships, limited evidence exists for the Philippines, particularly regarding the integrated role of electricity consumption, fossil fuel dependency, renewable energy adoption, and FDI in shaping carbon emissions. This study investigates the dynamic nexus among these variables using annual data for the period 1990–2023. The dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag framework is employed to estimate both long-run and short-run relationships and to simulate the adjustment paths following changes in key explanatory variables. The results reveal a long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. Fossil fuel consumption is identified as the primary driver of carbon emissions, while renewable energy contributes to emission mitigation. Economic growth and electricity consumption increase environmental pressure, whereas FDI promotes economic development without exerting a significant direct impact on emissions. The findings suggest that transforming the energy structure rather than restricting electricity demand represents the most effective pathway toward emission reduction. This study contributes to the literature by providing an integrated assessment of the energy–economy–environment nexus and generating policy-relevant evidence for the Philippines and other developing economies undergoing energy transition.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1177/01445987261471926first seen 2026-09-01 05:06:55
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