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低炭素建設のためのフライアッシュモルタルのクレードル・トゥ・ゲートLCA:GWP削減、不確実性分析、政策関連性

Cradle-to-Gate LCA of Fly Ash Mortar for Low-Carbon Construction: GWP Reduction, Uncertainty Analysis, and Policy Relevance (原題)

Sutria Desman, Nurhasan Syah, Mulya Gusman, Indang Dewata, Heldi Heldi, Helfia Edial

Civil Engineering and Architecture📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-09-03#エネルギー転換経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: construction
DOI: 10.13189/cea.2026.140517
原典: https://doi.org/10.13189/cea.2026.140517
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、フライアッシュをセメントに30%および50%置換したモルタルのクレードル・トゥ・ゲートLCAを実施し、GWPをそれぞれ28.4%および47.4%削減できることを示した。モンテカルロシミュレーションによる不確実性分析も行い、インドネシアの持続可能な建設政策への示唆を提供する。ただし、シナリオベースであり、実用化には強度や耐久性の検証が必要である。

English

This study conducts a cradle-to-gate LCA of mortar with 30% and 50% fly ash substitution, showing GWP reductions of 28.4% and 47.4%, respectively. Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis is included, and policy implications for Indonesia's sustainable construction are discussed. However, the scenarios are not experimentally validated, requiring strength and durability verification for practical use.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の建設業界では、カーボンニュートラル達成に向けてセメント代替材料の活用が注目されており、本研究成果はフライアッシュ利用の定量的なGWP削減効果を示す参考となる。ただし、日本のセメントやフライアッシュの特性はインドネシアと異なるため、適用には国内データでの検証が必要。

In the global GX context

This study contributes to global discourse on low-carbon construction materials, particularly in emerging economies. It demonstrates the potential of fly ash to reduce embodied carbon, aligning with global efforts to decarbonize the built environment. The uncertainty analysis adds methodological rigor, but the lack of mechanical validation limits immediate applicability.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a scenario-based LCA framework with uncertainty analysis for cement substitution, useful for comparative studies in other regions.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights potential GWP reductions from fly ash use, but emphasizes the need for strength and durability testing before adoption.

🏛政策担当者:Offers evidence for promoting fly ash utilization in construction to meet national climate targets, though local data validation is required.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study has four objectives, namely 1) to quantify the cradle-to-gate Global Warming Potential (GWP) of mortar produced with 0%, 30%, and 50% fly ash substitution; 2) to identify the dominant emission contributors across material production, transport, and mixing; 3) to evaluate uncertainty and sensitivity in the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) model; and 4) to interpret the mitigation potential in relation to Indonesia’s sustainable-construction and climate-policy context. This study was designed as a scenario-based cradle-to-gate LCA to quantify and compare the GWP of mortar mixtures incorporating fly ash. The functional unit was defined as 1 m3 of mortar targeted to an approximately 25 MPa compressive-strength class; however, the 30% and 50% fly ash mixtures were treated strictly as modelled LCA scenarios rather than experimentally validated mortar formulations. The system boundary was cradle-to-gate, covering raw material production, material transport to the batching plant, and mortar mixing. Fly ash was modelled using a cut-off allocation approach. A Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 iterations was conducted for the 30% fly ash scenario. The baseline mortar without fly ash substitution generated the highest GWP, at 266.6 kg CO2-eq/m3. Replacing 30% of cement with fly ash reduced the GWP to 190.8 kg CO2-eq/m3, corresponding to a reduction of 75.8 kg CO2-eq/m3 or 28.4% relative to the baseline. A higher substitution level of 50% fly ash further reduced the GWP to 140.2 kg CO2-eq/m3, equivalent to a reduction of 126.4 kg CO2-eq/m3 or 47.4%. Overall, the scenario results indicate that fly ash mortar can be a promising low-carbon material option, but the findings should not be interpreted as proof of mechanical equivalence, and practical implementation requires compressive-strength verification, fly ash quality assessment, durability testing, site-specific transport data, plant-specific cement emission factors, and measured mixing-energy data.

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