危機下における再生可能エネルギー移行の課題と経路：ロシアによるウクライナ戦争下の地域社会の視点に関する事例研究

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:紛争・危機下の分散型エネルギーガバナンスと、緊急対応が長期移行へ転化する条件を実証的に示す事例として有用。

🏢実務担当者:海外拠点やサプライチェーンを持つ企業が、物理的リスクの高い地域でのエネルギー調達・BCPを検討する際の地域能力評価の視点を提供する。

🏛政策担当者:自治体レベルでの分散型再エネ導入を支える制度能力・資金・ドナー連携の設計が、危機対応を恒久的な移行につなげる鍵となる点を政策立案に活用できる。

The ongoing war in Ukraine has exposed the vulnerability of centralised energy systems while increasing the importance of decentralised renewable energy for maintaining essential public services. Existing research has largely focused on infrastructure damage, national energy policy, technological potential, and post-war reconstruction, with comparatively limited attention to how local governments make and implement energy decisions under conflict conditions. This study examines the extent to which Ukrainian territorial communities, or hromadas, can lead decentralised renewable energy transitions and identifies the institutional, financial, technical, and security-related conditions that shape this capacity. The analysis combines geospatial assessment of renewable-energy development with semi-structured interviews involving 19 hromadas across 10 oblasts, six complementary case studies, and a strategic assessment of enabling and constraining factors. The findings show substantial variation across security contexts. Hromadas located farther from the frontline and possessing stronger institutional capacity and donor connections are better positioned to deploy decentralised renewable energy, whereas frontline communities remain constrained by restricted access, infrastructure damage, investment risk, and limited technical capacity. Solar photovoltaic systems emerge as the most feasible community-level option, identified by approximately 90% of respondents, particularly for maintaining water supply, healthcare, education, shelters, and municipal services during outages. The study further shows that wartime energy decisions are driven primarily by service continuity and energy security rather than climate objectives alone. Conceptually, the findings indicate that crisis-driven renewable-energy deployment should not automatically be interpreted as an energy transition. Its longer-term transformative significance depends on whether emergency interventions generate durable local capabilities, governance arrangements, financing mechanisms, and infrastructure. The study therefore advances research on decentralised energy governance and community resilience by showing how conflict conditions reconfigure the objectives, actors, time horizons, and technological criteria that shape energy-transition processes.

• openalex https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2026.105029first seen 2026-11-01 04:43:05 · last seen 2026-11-06 04:36:18