THE EFFECTS OF INDUSTRIAL VALUE ADDED AND ECONOMIC GROWTH ON CARBON EMISSIONS IN TÜRKİYE: FOURIER-SHIN COINTEGRATION TEST
トルコにおける産業付加価値と経済成長が二酸化炭素排出に与える影響：フーリエ・シン共和分検定 (AI 翻訳)
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この研究は、トルコの産業付加価値とGDPの増加が長期にわたってCO2排出を有意に増加させることを示した。1970～2024年のデータを用い、フーリエ・シン共和分検定で分析した結果、トルコの成長経路は依然として炭素集約的であることが明らかになった。
English
This study analyzes the long-run relationship between carbon emissions, industrial value added, and GDP in Türkiye from 1970 to 2024 using Fourier cointegration. Results show that both industrialization and economic growth positively and significantly impact CO2 emissions, indicating a carbon-intensive growth trajectory.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本とは直接関係ないが、日本が途上国への環境支援を考える際に参考になる。トルコのような新興国における成長と排出の関係は、日本のGX国際協力の文脈で有用である。
In the global GX context
While focused on Türkiye, this study provides empirical evidence on the carbon intensity of growth in emerging economies, relevant for global decarbonization policy discussions. It highlights the challenge of decoupling growth from emissions in developing countries.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The Fourier-Shin cointegration method offers a robust way to capture structural breaks in emissions-growth relationships.
🏛政策担当者:The paper reinforces the need for sustainable industrial policies to decouple growth from emissions in emerging economies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
In developing economies such as Türkiye, industrialization and economic growth play a crucial role in shaping both macroeconomic performance and environmental quality. Rapid industrial expansion may intensify environmental pressures through rising carbon emissions. Therefore, understanding the long-run dynamics among industrialization, economic growth, and CO2 emissions is essential for designing sustainable economic policies. This study analyzes the relationship between carbon emissions, industrial value added, and real GDP in Türkiye using econometric models based on the Fourier approach. The main objective is to determine whether Türkiye’s growth and industrialization process has followed a carbon-intensive path in the long run.Using annual data covering 1970–2024, the stationarity properties of lnCO2, lnGDP, and IND are examined through the Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) and Fourier KPSS (FKPSS) tests. The long-run relationship among the variables is investigated using the Fourier-Shin cointegration test, which captures smooth structural changes without pre-specifying break dates. Following confirmation of cointegration, long-run coefficients are estimated via Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) with Newey–West corrections. The results indicate that industrial value added and economic growth have a positive and statistically significant impact on CO2 emissions in the long run, suggesting that Türkiye’s growth trajectory remains carbon-intensive.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.58702/teyd.1893373first seen 2026-05-05 23:44:08
gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。