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ガバナンスの質と再生可能電力移行：GCCとASEAN経済の比較パネル分析、2004-2024年

GOVERNANCE QUALITY AND THE RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY TRANSITION: A COMPARATIVE PANEL ANALYSIS OF GCC AND ASEAN ECONOMIES, 2004–2024 (原題)

Ahmad Al-Harbi

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-02#エネルギー転換対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21761225
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21761225

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、2004〜2024年のGCC6カ国とASEAN5カ国のパネルデータを用いて、ガバナンスの質が再生可能電力移行に与える影響を分析。腐敗抑制と規制の質の向上はASEAN諸国で再生可能エネルギー比率を有意に引き上げるが、GCCではその効果が完全に相殺されることを示し、資源依存国の脱炭素化には制度的質よりも国家主導のプログラムが重要だと論じる。

English

This paper analyzes how governance quality affects renewable electricity transition using panel data from 6 GCC and 5 ASEAN countries (2004-2024). It finds that improvements in corruption control and regulatory quality significantly increase renewable share in ASEAN, but the effect is fully offset in GCC, suggesting state-led programs matter more than institutional quality in resource-rich economies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策では、制度の質と再生可能エネルギー導入の関係は示唆的。特に、資源国と異なる日本の文脈で、ガバナンス改善が再エネ導入に寄与する可能性を示す。

In the global GX context

This study contributes to global GX scholarship by empirically linking governance quality to renewable transition, with distinct implications for resource-rich vs. diversified economies. It highlights the role of institutional factors in climate policy effectiveness.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides robust empirical evidence on governance-renewables nexus, useful for cross-country GX policy research.

🏢実務担当者:Insights for companies operating in ASEAN/GCC on how governance environments affect renewable investment conditions.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights that improving governance can accelerate renewable transition in non-rentier states, informing policy design.

📄 Abstract（原文）

This paper examines whether governance quality shapes the renewable electricity transition and whether the hydrocarbon-rentier context mutes this institutional channel. Using a balanced panel of 11 Asian economies—six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and five ASEAN countries—over 2004–2024, we combine Worldwide Governance Indicators with energy data from the Energy Institute/Ember compilation and macroeconomic controls from the World Development Indicators. Two-way fixed-effects estimates with Driscoll–Kraay standard errors show that control of corruption and regulatory quality, lagged two years, significantly raise the renewable share of electricity generation in ASEAN economies: a one-standard-deviation (within-country) improvement in control of corruption is associated with an increase of about 1.3 percentage points, rising to roughly 2.3 percentage points in the long run of a dynamic specification. In the GCC, however, the effect is fully offset: interaction terms are negative, similar in magnitude, and statistically significant, and subsample estimates are near zero. Results are robust to alternative lags, a low-carbon dependent variable, dynamic specifications, and leave-one-country-out tests. The findings support a rentier-state interpretation in which state-led programs, rather than broad institutional quality, drive decarbonization in resource-rich economies, with distinct policy implications for the two regions.

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