THE ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE FOR GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS IN EUROPEAN UNION MEMBER STATES: A SECTORAL APPROACH

欧州連合加盟国における温室効果ガス排出の環境クズネッツ曲線：セクター別アプローチ (AI 翻訳)

Lorena Škuflić, Maja Bašić

Ekonomska misao i praksa📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-09#エネルギー転換Origin: EU対象セクター: cross_sector

DOI: 10.17818/emip/2026/27

原典: https://doi.org/10.17818/emip/2026/27

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

1995～2023年のEU27カ国を対象に、環境クズネッツ曲線仮説をセクター別に検証。先進国では逆U字型が確認され、再生可能エネルギー比率の向上やエネルギー原単位の改善が排出削減に寄与することを示した。発展途上国では所得上昇に伴い排出が増加する傾向。

English

This paper tests the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis for aggregate and sectoral GHG emissions across 27 EU member states from 1995-2023. It finds an inverted-U shaped curve for total emissions, buildings, and fuel combustion in more developed countries, while less developed countries show rising emissions with income. The results highlight the role of public policy and renewable energy penetration rather than income growth alone.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本においても、SSBJや温暖化対策計画の策定にあたり、排出削減と経済成長の関係をセクター別に捉える本分析は参考となる。特に、政策介入と技術転換の重要性を定量的に示している点は、日本のGX政策にも示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This study provides sector-level evidence on the decoupling of emissions from economic growth in the EU, relevant for global climate policy design. It supports the need for targeted policies and renewable energy deployment, aligning with ISSB and TCFD frameworks for disclosure of transition risks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Methodology using panel models with cubic and quadratic terms for EKC testing can be applied to other regions' data.

🏛政策担当者:Confirms that policy and renewable energy investment are key drivers of emission reductions beyond income growth.

📄 Abstract（原文）

Rad istražuje povezanost emisija stakleničkih plinova i dohotka po stanovniku u 27 zemalja članica Europske unije u razdoblju od 1995. do 2023. godine primjenom hipoteze okolišne Kuznetsove krivulje (EKC). Primjenom kvadratnih, kubnih i dinamičkih panel-modela analizirane su agregatne i sektorske emisije u razvijenijim i manje razvijenim zemljama članicama. Rezultati upućuju na strukturne razlike među skupinama zemalja. Obrnuta U-krivulja potvrđena je u ukupnim emisijama, sektoru zgradarstva i izgaranju goriva u razvijenijim zemljama, dok manje razvijene zemlje uglavnom bilježe rastuće i konveksne obrasce kretanja emisija i dohotka. Smanjenje emisija ponajprije je povezano s vremenskim učincima i javnim politikama, a ne isključivo s rastom dohotka. Povećanje udjela obnovljivih izvora energije i smanjenje energetskog intenziteta dodatno pridonose smanjenju emisija, potvrđujući važnost tehnološke tranzicije i regulatorne potpore u tranzicijskim gospodarstvima.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

crossref https://doi.org/10.17818/emip/2026/27first seen 2026-06-10 05:45:35

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