Global Climate Policy Durability Amid American Backtracking: Cooling Sector Chemicals in the Kigali Era
米国の後退の中での地球規模の気候政策の耐久性：キガリ時代の冷却セクター化学物質 (AI 翻訳)
Barry Rabe
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、モントリオール議定書キガリ改正に基づく冷却セクター化学物質（HFC）の国際規制制度の耐久性を分析する。米国の政策後退にもかかわらず、この制度は持続可能であり、カナダなど他国が主導的役割を拡大できると結論付ける。気候政策の設計と回復力に関する教訓を提供する。
English
This paper analyzes the durability of the global governance regime for cooling sector chemicals under the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol. It finds that despite US policy shifts hostile to climate mitigation, the regime is likely to survive, with opportunities for Canada and other nations to expand leadership. It offers lessons for designing resilient international climate policies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本はモントリオール議定書及びキガリ改正の締約国であり、冷媒管理は国内の脱炭素戦略の一部。本論文は、国際レジームの耐久性要因を明らかにし、日本の政策継続性と国際協調の重要性を示唆する。
In the global GX context
The Kigali Amendment is a rare success in global climate governance. This paper demonstrates how treaty design features—such as universal participation and adaptive mechanisms—can withstand political shocks. It offers a model for other climate regimes like the Paris Agreement, which often struggle with durability.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Climate policy scholars will find a nuanced analysis of institutional resilience and the role of non-hegemonic leadership.
🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams in refrigeration and air conditioning can understand the long-term regulatory trajectory and prepare for phase-down schedules.
🏛政策担当者:Environment ministry officials can learn design principles for durable international agreements and anticipate shifting leadership dynamics.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Global initiatives to reduce climate change risks have long struggled to secure broad national participation or deliver sustained greenhouse gas reductions. The Kyoto Protocol collapse in 2012 and the meager achievements of the succeeding 2015 Paris Agreement illustrate this challenge, as have fledgling efforts to form clubs of like-minded nations around carbon pricing and border adjustments.1 In turn, many national climate mitigation policies have struggled to achieve significant emissions reductions, even when they prove durable politically.2 This reflects the profound difficulties facing domestic and global climate policies, which often combine near-term costs with aspirations for long-term benefits.3 One notable exception has involved transformation of cooling sector chemicals through unique and durable global governance lodged in a landmark treaty that has been frequently adapted to changing conditions. This paper examines this understudied international climate policy regime, considering its key design features and future viability amid recent US policy shifts hostile to many global and domestic climate mitigation efforts. It concludes that any forthcoming American shocks to this global system are likely significant but not fatal, leaving considerable room for sustained implementation and expanding leadership roles for Canada and other nations.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.51644/bap92first seen 2026-05-05 07:46:07
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