地球規模のエネルギー転換におけるシステムリスクの緩和：多角的危機の時代におけるエネルギー政策の再定義に向けた技術生態学的・社会経済的インターフェースの分析
Mitigating Systemic Risks in the Global Energy Transition: Analyzing Techno-Ecological and Socio-Economic Interfaces to Redefine Energy Policy in the Age of Polycrisis (原題)
Aleksander Jakimowicz
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、エネルギー転換を現代の多角的危機の中心的要因と捉え、システム思考に基づく分析を提示する。現在の脱炭素戦略は全体像を欠き、非線形の増幅フィードバックを引き起こすと指摘。技術生態学的・社会経済的インターフェースを測定可能な枠組みとして導入し、8つの高レバレッジ制御レバー（16のKPI）を特定した。社会的受容性（SLO）の確保には、物理的限界と社会摩擦のバランス管理が重要と結論づける。
English
This paper presents a systemic analysis of the global energy transition, framing it as the central driver of the modern polycrisis. It argues that current decarbonization strategies, lacking a holistic view, trigger nonlinear amplifying feedback loops. Introducing a systemic control dashboard with techno-ecological and socio-economic interfaces, it identifies eight high-leverage control levers (16 KPIs) governing friction between physical limits and societal acceptance. Policy implications emphasize managing interface tensions for securing a Social License to Operate.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX政策（GX推進法、エネルギー基本計画）は部門別の積み上げが中心で、システム全体のリスク評価が不足しがち。本論文のシステム制御ダッシュボードは、日本のエネルギー計画に横断的視点を提供し、再生可能エネルギー導入と系統安定性のトレードオフを管理する示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
Globally, this paper contributes to the discourse on energy transition risks, complementing TCFD/ISSB climate risk disclosure by offering a systemic framework to identify and manage transition risks. It provides a methodology for policymakers and planners to anticipate feedback loops and social acceptance issues, which are often overlooked in traditional cost-benefit analyses.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a novel systemic framework for analyzing energy transition risks, useful for scholars in sustainability science and energy policy.
🏢実務担当者:Offers a dashboard of KPIs and control levers that can inform corporate transition planning and risk management.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for holistic policy design to avoid unintended consequences in decarbonization strategies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This paper presents a systemic analysis of the global energy transition, framing it as the central thermodynamic and economic driver of the modern polycrisis. The primary research objective is to demonstrate how current decarbonization strategies, lacking a holistic view, inadvertently trigger nonlinear amplifying feedback loops that exacerbate geopolitical and market volatility. Methodologically, the research introduces a systemic control dashboard, operationalizing the anthropological concept of contact zones into measurable techno-ecological and socio-economic interfaces. This framework is preferable to existing socio-technical approaches because it operationally couples rigid physical limits (e.g., thermodynamics) with volatile socio-behavioral friction, eliminating the blind spots of siloed analyses. The main contribution of this study lies in its systemic validation: it proves that the energy transition operates as the master control node of the polycrisis and successfully identifies eight high-leverage control levers (comprising sixteen Key Performance Indicators) that govern the friction between physical boundaries and societal acceptance. Regarding policy implications, the findings demonstrate that securing a Social License to Operate (SLO) requires actively managing these specific interface tensions—such as balancing renewable deployment against baseload inertia—rather than relying on isolated cost–benefit metrics. Ultimately, this approach equips energy planners with a robust methodology to minimize systemic risk and guide the transition toward a resilient, low-entropy steady state.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/en19153595first seen 2026-08-21 04:32:38
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