A RISK-BASED METHODOLOGY FOR FORECASTING DAMAGES FROM EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS AIR POLLUTION FROM TRANSPORT IN SAINT-PETERSBURG
サンクトペテルブルクにおける交通機関からの極めて有害な大気汚染による被害予測のためのリスクベース手法 (AI 翻訳)
V. Lozhkin
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この論文は、サンクトペテルブルクの都市交通による極めて有害な大気汚染から生じる被害を、リスクベースの手法で予測する方法論を提案している。市場メカニズムで補償されない外部コストを計算し、煤粒子、硫黄酸化物、窒素、炭素、炭化水素の過剰蓄積による健康被害、農産物品質低下、インフラ損傷、地球温暖化への影響を金銭的に評価している。推定結果はサンクトペテルブルクの技術・財務・人口統計・社会環境に基づいている。
English
This paper presents a risk-based methodology for forecasting damages from extremely hazardous air pollution from urban transport in Saint-Petersburg. It calculates external costs not compensated by market mechanisms, quantifying excessive accumulation of soot, sulfur oxides, nitrogen, carbon, and hydrocarbons. Assessments include health impacts, agricultural quality deterioration, infrastructure damage, and global warming, expressed in physical and monetary terms, tailored to Saint-Petersburg's technical, financial, demographic, and social conditions.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
この研究はサンクトペテルブルクに特化しているが、日本の都市でも類似の外部コスト評価手法が交通政策や大気汚染対策に応用可能である。特に、日本のSSBJや統合報告書では環境外部性の定量化が求められつつあり、本手法の枠組みは参考になる。
In the global GX context
While focused on Saint-Petersburg, this methodology for quantifying external costs of transport air pollution is relevant globally for urban environmental policy. It aligns with global trends in accounting for uncompensated damages in climate and sustainability disclosure, similar to frameworks like TCFD/ISSB that consider externalities.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:This paper provides a case study of external cost quantification for transport pollution, useful for researchers studying environmental economics and risk assessment.
🏢実務担当者:Practitioners in urban planning or transport management can adapt the methodology to assess non-market damages in their cities.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can use the cost estimates to justify regulations on transport emissions and compensation mechanisms.
📄 Abstract（原文）
In the context of an extraordinary global environmental crisis, characterized by catastrophic climate change, the decline of biodiversity, the pollution of the human air with pollutants, and, consequently, an unprecedented rise in disease rates in densely populated industrial agglomerations around the world, the issue of monitoring extremely hazardous air pollution from urban transport is examined based on the damage caused to the population in Saint-Petersburg. Monitoring is carried out using indicators of expected «costs» (damages) «uncompensated» by market mechanisms for that portion of the urban population that, by not participating in the organization of transportation services and profiting from these activities, is most vulnerable to the risks of deteriorating living conditions as a result of air pollution. Original assessment models and algorithms for calculating «external costs» are adapted to modern approaches to state «compensation» implemented in certain foreign countries, taking into account the actual technical condition of operating urban transport and the financial, demographic, and social environment of Saint-Petersburg. Estimates are provided for the extreme, excessive accumulation of soot particles, sulfur oxides, nitrogen, carbon, and hydrocarbons in the air. The estimates are expressed in physical and monetary terms, measured by the negative effects of poor health, deterioration in the quality of agricultural products, damage to infrastructure, and global warming.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.61260/1998-8990-2026-2-68-79first seen 2026-07-23 06:10:31
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