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Scenario planning for renewable energy transition for rural towns in the United States: lessons from Algona City of Iowa, United States

米国農村部における再生可能エネルギー移行のシナリオ計画:アイオワ州アルゴナ市からの教訓 (AI 翻訳)

Jiwnath Ghimire, Eyad Taamallah

Frontiers of Urban and Rural Planning📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-07-26#エネルギー転換Origin: US対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.1007/s44243-026-00087-4
原典: https://doi.org/10.1007/s44243-026-00087-4
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、米国アイオワ州アルゴナ市を事例に、農村部の再生可能エネルギー移行計画における探索的シナリオの活用を検討する。調査やインタビューを通じて、4つの将来シナリオ(現状維持、大規模太陽光・バイオガス、コミュニティ太陽光・営農型太陽光、省エネ・BIPV)を地域住民と共創し、評価基準を設定した。結果、地域住民は小規模で柔軟なシナリオを好み、これを足掛かりに大規模な移行を進める可能性が示唆された。

English

This study examines the use of exploratory scenarios for renewable energy transition planning in rural towns, using Algona, Iowa, as a case study. Through surveys and interviews, four future scenarios (business as usual, utility-scale solar and biogas, community solar and agrivoltaics, and energy efficiency and BIPV) were co-created with community values and evaluation criteria. The community preferred small-scale, flexible scenarios, suggesting leveraging these preferences to build momentum for larger transitions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の中山間地域や過疎地の再エネ導入計画に示唆を与える。地域参加型のシナリオ計画は、日本の地域脱炭素や自治体の再エネ促進計画にも応用可能であり、SSBJや有報対応とは直接関係しないが、地域のエネルギー自立や防災面での価値が期待される。

In the global GX context

This paper offers a replicable framework for participatory energy transition planning in rural communities, relevant to global efforts under TCFD/ISSB and just transition discussions. It highlights the importance of community engagement and small-scale solutions, which can inform transition finance and policy design for rural areas in both developed and developing countries.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a case study on participatory scenario planning for energy transitions in rural contexts, useful for comparative research on community engagement.

🏢実務担当者:Offers a framework for engaging rural communities in energy planning, which can be adapted for corporate community relations or local sustainability initiatives.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for multimodal engagement strategies and trust-building in rural energy policy, informing local and national transition plans.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract Rural towns across the world face unique challenges in navigating energy transitions. The hurdle is dire in the United States due to demographic shifts, aging infrastructure, and limited institutional capacity. This paper examines how exploratory scenarios can serve as participatory, adaptive tools for renewable energy transition planning in rural town contexts, using Algona, Iowa, as a case study. Using surveys, interviews, case studies, and focus group discussions, four future energy scenarios – business as usual, utility-scale solar and biogas, community solar and agrivoltaics, and energy efficiency and Building Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV) – and their evaluation criteria were co-created based on community values, technical feasibility, cost, aesthetics, and scalability for energy transition planning in rural towns. Community perspectives and priorities on energy futures are diverse and sometimes conflicting, highlighting the need for multimodal engagement strategies and for building trust through exploratory scenarios that offer a replicable energy transition planning framework for rural communities in the United States and other countries. The study finds that the Algona community preferred small-scale, flexible energy scenarios and suggests leveraging these preferences to build momentum for larger energy transitions. Scenario planning not only supports strategic decision-making under uncertainty but also fosters inclusivity, ownership, and resilience for energy transition planning for communities in the shrinking rural towns in the United States and internationally.

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