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Reasons for the slowdown in the global transition to a sustainable development model

持続可能な開発モデルへの世界的移行の減速要因 (AI 翻訳)

Yuri Danilov

Voprosy Ekonomiki📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-07#政策
DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2026-4-44-66
原典: https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2026-4-44-66

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、持続可能な開発モデルへの移行の減速を定量的に示し、その原因を短中期要因、成長課題の質的変化、パラダイム内部の矛盾の3つに分類。SDGs指数と責任投資の動向から、2019年以降の減速を確認した。今後の加速には、過去の促進要因との比較と新たな経済・技術・行動要因の評価が必要と論じる。

English

This paper quantitatively demonstrates a slowdown in the global transition to sustainable development since 2019, using SDG Index and responsible investment trends. It classifies causes into three groups: short- and medium-term processes, qualitative changes in growth problems, and internal contradictions of the paradigm. It suggests that future acceleration requires comparing current inhibitors with past drivers and evaluating new economic, technological, and behavioral factors.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策においても、持続可能な開発目標(SDGs)の達成やESG投資の伸び悩みは現実の課題である。本論文の要因分類は、日本のGX戦略の停滞要因分析や政策修正の参考となる可能性がある。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a structured analysis of the global slowdown in sustainable development transitions, relevant to ongoing debates about ESG backlash and policy gaps. The identified factors—short-term crises, shifting growth challenges, and paradigm contradictions—offer a framework for understanding headwinds to climate and sustainability transitions worldwide, including those affecting climate disclosure and transition finance.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a systematic classification of factors slowing the sustainability transition, useful for comparative studies on drivers and barriers.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need to adapt policies to new growth problems rather than relying on past success factors; relevant for designing transition roadmaps.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The article analyzes the deceleration of the global transition toward a sustainable development model — a process that, in Russian academic and public discourse, is often addressed in a rather superficial or speculative manner. The study seeks to provide a scientifically grounded assessment of two key questions: (1) what is the current state of this transition, and does it exhibit signs of deceleration or stagnation, as evidenced by quantitative indicators; and (2) what are the principal causes and factors underlying this slowdown? To address the first question, the paper examines the dynamics of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Index and trends in responsible investment. The results indicate that since 2019, the global transition to a sustainable development model has indeed slowed, although there is no empirical basis to suggest its complete cessation. In response to the second question, the article identifies and classifies global factors contributing to the slowdown into three major groups: (1) short- and mediumterm global processes; (2) the emergence of new “growth problems” replacing the earlier “formation problems” without corresponding policy adaptation; and (3) inherent contradictions within the sustainable development paradigm itself. The findings provide a foundation for forecasting the future trajectory of the sustainable development model at both global and national levels. Further progress will depend on comparing current inhibitory factors with those that previously spurred the expansion of sustainable finance — a key mechanism in advancing the new model — and on assessing emerging economic, technological, and behavioral drivers capable of reinvigorating the global transition toward sustainability. 

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