How Does Incentive-Based Environmental Regulation Promote Employment? A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on Carbon Trading Rights Pilot
インセンティブ型環境規制は雇用を促進するか：炭素排出権取引パイロットに基づく準自然実験 (AI 翻訳)
Bin Gao, Ziyu Zhou, Xiao Han, Hongsun Qin, Xiaolong Li
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
中国の炭素排出権取引パイロット政策を準自然実験とし、2007〜2022年の上海・深センA株上場企業のパネルデータを用いて多期間DIDで雇用効果を検証。政策は企業雇用を有意に促進し、民営企業・第二次産業・技術集約型企業で効果が大きい。経路として規模・産出、要素代替・補完、革新補償の3つを特定し、資金制約が緩和効果を持つことを示した。
English
Using a multi-period DID model on Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed firms (2007-2022), this study finds that China's pilot carbon emissions trading policy significantly boosts corporate employment, especially in private, secondary-industry, and technology-intensive firms. It identifies three mediating pathways (scale-output, factor substitution/complementarity, innovation compensation) and shows financing constraints weaken the effect, with implications for carbon market design and labor policy.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
中国のETS政策が雇用に与える実証的証拠は、日本でもカーボンプライシング導入議論やGX経済移行債の雇用影響評価に示唆を与える。SSBJ開示や有報での人的資本・雇用情報開示が進む中、政策と雇用の関係を定量化した点は投資家対応にも有用。
In the global GX context
This empirical evidence from China's ETS pilot offers valuable insights for global carbon pricing design, particularly the trade-off between environmental goals and employment. As jurisdictions like the EU and US expand carbon markets, understanding employment co-benefits and pathways informs policy calibration and just-transition strategies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides causal evidence on ETS employment effects and mediating pathways, useful for carbon pricing and labor economics research.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights potential employment benefits and financing constraints, informing corporate strategy under carbon pricing.
🏛政策担当者:Offers evidence that carbon pricing can promote employment, supporting policy design and just-transition planning.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Treating the pilot carbon emissions trading policy as a quasi-natural experiment, this study employs a multi-period difference-in-differences model to assess its employment effects using panel data from Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies between 2007 and 2022. Results indicate that the pilot policy effectively promotes corporate employment, with the most significant positive impacts observed in private enterprises, secondary industry firms, and technology-intensive companies. The pilot policy promotes corporate employment through three intermediary pathways: “scale–output,” “factor substitution and complementarity,” and “innovation compensation.” “Financing constraints” exert a moderating effect on these pathways, weakening the promotional impact. The pilot policy increases corporate demand for highly educated and technical talent, generating labor mobility effects across regions and industries. The study provides actionable insights for employment effects arising from carbon emissions trading market development.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/su18157937first seen 2026-08-07 04:59:11
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