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Impact of Energy Transition on Regional Carbon Emissions: Evidence from China

エネルギー転換が地域の炭素排出に与える影響:中国からのエビデンス (AI 翻訳)

Yanqin Jiang

Exploring Science Academic Conference Series📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-17#エネルギー転換Origin: CN対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.70267/icfmb.2026170113
原典: https://doi.org/10.70267/icfmb.2026170113
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は2013~2022年の中国26省のパネルデータを用い、エネルギー転換の清潔性・安全性・効率性の3次元評価枠組みを構築し、炭素排出との関係を分析した。エネルギー転換は全体的に進展したがサブシステム間で不均一であり、転換と排出の間に逆U字型関係が確認された。また地域ごとに効果が異なり、都市化や経済発展レベルによる差異が示された。

English

Using panel data from 26 Chinese provinces (2013-2022), this study constructs a three-dimensional evaluation framework (cleanliness, security, efficiency) for energy transition and examines its relationship with carbon emissions. Energy transition generally progressed but unevenly across subsystems; an inverted U-shaped relationship between transition and emissions was found, with regional heterogeneity by urbanization, economic development, and coastal/inland location.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本研究は中国のエネルギー転換政策(双炭戦略)の効果を実証したもので、日本でもGX推進法や地域別エネルギー移行戦略への示唆を含む。ただし中国と日本ではエネルギー構造や政策枠組みが異なるため、直接適用には注意が必要。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence from China on the non-linear relationship between energy transition and carbon emissions, offering insights for countries designing phased transition strategies. The regional heterogeneity highlights the need for context-specific policies in global carbon reduction efforts, relevant to ISSB, TCFD, and transition finance frameworks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:For GX researchers, this paper offers a robust empirical framework (coupling coordination model) to measure energy transition progress and its emission effects, with implications for modeling transition pathways.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams can use the inverted U-shaped finding to anticipate that near-term emissions may rise during early energy transition, informing long-term carbon reduction roadmaps and investment timelines.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers should note the regional disparities and the need for differentiated transition policies, as a one-size-fits-all approach may not yield optimal emission reductions.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Against the backdrop of global climate change and China’s commitment to carbon reduction, energy transition has become an important pathway toward low-carbon development. Using panel data from 26 Chinese provinces between 2013 and 2022, this study investigates how regional energy transition affects carbon emissions. An evaluation framework covering three dimensions—cleanliness, security, and efficiency—is constructed, with indicator weights determined through the entropy method. The development levels of the three subsystems are measured and further integrated through a coupling coordination model to assess the overall progress of energy transition and its evolution over time. Regression analysis is then employed to examine the relationship between energy transition and carbon dioxide emissions. The results suggest that China’s energy transition has generally advanced during the study period, although the development of different subsystems remains uneven. The relationship between energy transition and carbon emissions follows an inverted U-shaped pattern. At relatively low levels of transition, carbon emissions continue to increase, whereas the emission-reduction effect becomes more evident as the transition deepens, eventually contributing to a decline in emissions. The impacts are not uniform across regions and differ according to urbanization level, economic development, and coastal–inland location. By examining both the evolution of energy transition and its environmental consequences, this study offers additional evidence on the role of energy transition in reducing carbon emissions and provides implications for region-specific low-carbon development under China’s dual-carbon strategy.

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