The impact of conventional policy instruments on climate change mitigation in China
中国における気候変動緩和に対する従来の政策手段の影響 (AI 翻訳)
Igor Matutinović, Djula Borozan
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、中国の1990年から2020年までのデータを用いて、エネルギー・気候政策がCO2排出削減に与えた影響をリッジ回帰で分析。政策手段は排出削減に寄与したが統計的に有意ではなく、市場ベースの手段のみ有意で効果は弱い。経済成長と排出削減の両立は炭素強度改善には有効だが、絶対量削減には不十分で、供給・需要両側の制限的政策を提案する。
English
This study uses ridge regression on Chinese data (1990-2020) to assess the impact of energy and climate policies on CO2 emissions. Policy instruments contributed to mitigation but were not statistically significant overall; only market-based instruments showed significance, with weak effects. The authors argue that pursuing economic growth alongside emission reduction improves carbon intensity but misses absolute reduction targets, proposing unconventional supply- and demand-side restrictions.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
中国の政策効果の実証分析は、日本企業の中国事業における排出削減戦略や、中国のカーボンプライシング動向を理解する上で参考になる。また、政策の限界を示すことで、日本における実効性の高い政策設計への示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to global climate policy scholarship by empirically testing the effectiveness of conventional policy instruments in a major emerging economy. It highlights the limitations of market-based mechanisms in rapidly growing economies, informing international debates on policy design and the need for complementary measures.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the limited effectiveness of conventional climate policies in China, useful for comparative policy analysis.
🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for companies operating in China regarding the policy environment and potential future regulatory changes.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for unconventional policy approaches to achieve significant emission reductions in growing economies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
We question whether conventional energy and CO 2 emissions policy measures can rapidly and significantly reduce CO 2 emissions within a dynamically growing economy. We focus on domestic material consumption (DMC) and take China as a case study. By using ridge regression, we explore the impact of energy and climate policy instruments on total CO 2 emissions in China from 1990 to 2020. Results show that policy instruments have contributed to mitigating CO 2 emissions, but their impact is not statistically significant. When distinguishing policy instruments into command-and-control and market-based types, the latter emerges as statistically significant, although its impact on CO 2 emission mitigation is rather weak. We explain the weak impact of conventional policy measures on total emissions with China’s energy mix, fallacies in the relevant institutional framework, and a focus on economic growth driven by material factors. Our study suggests that a parallel pursuit of economic growth and CO 2 emissions reduction may yield improvements in intensive variables, like carbon intensity and energy use/GDP. Still, the strategic goals of significant emissions reduction are likely to be largely missed. We propose an unconventional policy approach that combines restrictive supply and demand-side climate policy instruments.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1177/20530196261464201first seen 2026-08-07 04:56:20
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