Decarbonisation of District Heating – Review of Current System Dynamics Modelling Approaches
地域暖房の脱炭素化 – 現在のシステムダイナミクスモデリングアプローチのレビュー (AI 翻訳)
Ilze Katrina Lumpova, Madara Rieksta, Gatis Bažbauers
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、地域暖房（DH）の脱炭素化におけるシステムダイナミクス（SD）モデリングの既存研究を系統的にレビューする。エネルギー・トリレンマ（持続可能性、安全性、経済性）のバランスを取るため、SDモデルがどのように利用されているかを分析。現在の研究は技術統合に焦点を当てる一方、経済性や環境影響の体系的分析は断片的であり、トリレンマの相互作用を完全には捉えていないと結論付ける。
English
This paper systematically reviews existing studies that use System Dynamics (SD) modeling for district heating (DH) decarbonization. It analyzes how SD models address the energy trilemma (sustainability, security, economic viability). The review finds that current research focuses on technology integration while systemic analysis of economic, security, and environmental aspects remains fragmented, offering only partial understanding of trilemma interdependencies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では地域暖房の普及が限定的ですが、本レビューで示されたシステムダイナミクスモデリングの知見は、熱分野の脱炭素化戦略を検討する際の参考になります。エネルギー・トリレンマを統合的に扱う必要性を改めて示唆しています。
In the global GX context
This review provides a structured overview of System Dynamics approaches to district heating decarbonization, which is critical for EU and global heating transition. It highlights the research gap in integrated modeling of the energy trilemma, offering valuable insights for policymakers and modelers seeking holistic decarbonization pathways.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:GX researchers should note the identified gap in integrated modeling of the energy trilemma for district heating, pointing to future research directions.
🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams in energy or district heating can use the review to understand system dynamics modeling for decarbonisation planning.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can leverage the review to design policies that balance sustainability, security, and economic viability in district heating decarbonization.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Decarbonization of the heating sector, with an emphasis on expanding and decarbonizing District Heating (DH), is critical for achieving national and EU-level decarbonization goals. However, decarbonization of DH presents a set of conflicting goals, also referred to as the “energy trilemma” – ensuring sustainability, system security and reliability, and economic viability. To achieve successful decarbonization of DH, all three goals need to be optimally balanced. System Dynamics (SD) modelling allows the observation of complex system behaviour over time by observing feedback loops and dependencies within a given system. Thus, given the complexity of DH systems and their interdependence with other energy systems, an SD modelling approach is widely used to model different aspects of the future development of DH, as well as to observe the dynamic effects and feedback loops emerging from technology integration and policy interventions. This paper develops a systemic literature review approach to analyse and review existing studies that employ SD modelling of DH systems. It identifies the scope and aim of the models and summarizes the main feedback loops identified and key takeaways, evaluating to what extent the energy trilemma is currently explored in existing literature. It is found that existing studies predominantly focus on modelling the integration of specific technologies into DH systems, thus covering technological aspects of DH decarbonization. However, studies covering systemic analysis of economic viability, system security, and environmental impacts of DH decarbonization remain fragmented, as the aspects are mostly explored separately. As a result, current research offers only a partial understanding of how the conflicting goals of the energy trilemma interact through feedback loops and create interdependencies within DH systems.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.7250/conect.2026.014first seen 2026-05-14 22:00:16
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