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A multi-criteria assessment of decarbonization pathways for heavy-duty trucks

大型トラックの脱炭素化経路に関する多基準評価 (AI 翻訳)

Aybike Esra Şahin, Şeyma Özekinci

Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-06#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.1088/2634-4505/ae62a1
原典: https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/ae62a1
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、米国・EU・中国の大型トラック市場において、ディーゼル、BEV、FCEVの競争力を物流コストを含む多基準評価で分析。ディーゼルが米国とEUで最も競争力が高く、BEVはEUで地域的に競争力を持つ。中国では技術間で優劣が分かれる。インフラ、エネルギー価格、規制インセンティブが競争力を左右する。

English

This study evaluates the competitiveness of diesel, BEV, and FCEV heavy-duty trucks in the US, EU, and China using a multi-criteria approach that includes logistics costs. Diesel remains most competitive in the US and EU, while BEVs show competitiveness in certain EU settings. In China, no single technology dominates. Infrastructure readiness, energy pricing, and regulatory incentives are key drivers.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも大型トラックの脱炭素化が政策課題となる中、物流コストの考慮は日本企業の投資判断に示唆を与える。SSBJや有報での開示が進むEV比率目標の策定にも役立つ。

In the global GX context

This research provides a comparative framework for heavy-duty truck decarbonization across major markets, informing global disclosure standards (e.g., ISSB's SASB standards) and transition finance decisions by incorporating real-world logistics costs.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Integrates logistics cost into techno-economic assessment, offering a replicable multi-criteria methodology for transport decarbonization studies.

🏢実務担当者:Helps corporate fleets and logistics firms assess the total cost of ownership and infrastructure requirements for alternative powertrains.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights that diesel remains cost-competitive in US and EU, while BEV viability depends on regional policy support—relevant for designing subsidy and infrastructure strategies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract Despite growing interest in alternative heavy-duty truck (HDT) powertrains, limited research has evaluated their techno-economic competitiveness across major freight markets while explicitly considering logistics and transportation cost structures. This study examines whether diesel‚ BEVs (battery electric vehicles), and FCEVs (fuel cell electric vehicles) are market-competitive for freight trucks in the US‚ EU‚ and China by assessing the competitiveness of these powertrains‚ taking into account logistics and transport costs such as vehicle purchase price‚ maintenance and insurance costs‚ payload‚ infrastructure investment and operation costs and policy-related cost exemptions to ease the relative competitiveness assessment of alternative HDT powertrains‚ a three-stage multi criteria decision making method approach is proposed in the first stage of the framework‚ the key techno-economic evaluation criteria are identified and their relative weights are computed using the criterion impact loss method second‚ the diesel‚ BEV and FCEV alternatives are ranked by applying the weighted criteria using two ranking techniques: namely‚ the measurement of alternatives and ranking according to compromise solution and the combined compromise solution approaches finally‚ a robustness analysis is performed using the evaluation based on distance from average solution approach The results indicate that diesel trucks are the most cost-competitive in the United States and the EU‚ due to lower cost volatility and established logistics infrastructure BEVs are also cost-competitive in certain regional and methodological settings‚ particularly in the EU In China, the relative competitiveness of powertrain technologies varies across methods, with no single technology consistently dominating. FCEVs generally rank as the least competitive option across regions. Infrastructure readiness, energy pricing, regulatory incentives, and logistics cost structures strongly influence HDT powertrain competitiveness. Incorporating logistics cost considerations into techno-economic assessments provides more realistic insights for policymakers and industry stakeholders when designing freight transport decarbonization strategies and investment priorities.

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