インドネシアの生態足跡の規定要因としての燃料輸出・エネルギー消費・産業排出
Fuel Exports, Energy Consumption, and Industrial Emissions as Determinants of the Ecological Footprint in Indonesia (原題)
Monika Andrasari, A. Rahman, Rio Puji Firmansyah, Aryadimas Suprayitno
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
インドネシアの1993〜2022年時系列データを用い、燃料輸出・国内エネルギー消費・エネルギー産業の炭素排出が生態足跡に与える短期・長期効果をARDL手法で分析。国内エネルギー消費が最も強い正の長期効果を持ち、化石燃料依存が生態学的圧力の主要因であることを示す。燃料輸出も両期間で正に関連するが効果は相対的に小さい。誤差修正項は長期均衡への収束を示す。
English
Using 1993–2022 Indonesian time-series data and ARDL methods, this study examines how fuel exports, domestic energy consumption, and energy-industry carbon emissions affect the ecological footprint. Domestic energy consumption shows the strongest positive long-run effect, confirming fossil-fuel dependence as the main driver of ecological pressure; fuel exports are also positively associated but weaker. The error-correction term confirms convergence to long-run equilibrium.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
インドネシアは日本の主要なLNG・石炭調達先であり、日本のエネルギー調達リスクとScope 3排出に直結する。資源国側の脱炭素政策動向を読む材料として日本の実務者に有用。
In the global GX context
Adds emerging-economy empirical evidence to the global debate on whether fossil-fuel export dependence undermines decarbonization, relevant to transition-finance and supply-chain due diligence for importers of Indonesian energy commodities.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:ARDLによる生態足跡のマクロ実証の一例として、変数選択と定式化の限界を踏まえて参照できる。
🏢実務担当者:インドネシアからエネルギー調達する企業は、資源国の国内政策・環境規制の方向性を把握する材料にできる。
🏛政策担当者:資源国の輸出政策と国内エネルギー転換の両立を図る際の、環境モニタリング強化の根拠として参照可能。
📄 Abstract（原文）
Indonesia's continued reliance on fossil fuels links energy trade and domestic energy use to increasing ecological pressure. This study investigates the short- and long-run effects of fuel exports, domestic energy consumption, and energy-industry carbon emissions on Indonesia's ecological footprint from 1993 to 2022. Annual time-series data are analyzed using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique, which accommodates variables integrated at I(0) and I(1) and captures both short-run dynamics and long-run relationships. Nevertheless, because the specification uses first-differenced series, re-estimation in levels is required before these estimates can establish long-run ecological-footprint relationships. The findings show that fuel exports are positively associated with the ecological footprint in both horizons, although their effects are weaker than those of domestic energy consumption. Domestic energy consumption exhibits the strongest positive and statistically significant long-run effect, highlighting fossil-based energy use as a major driver of ecological pressure. Energy-industry carbon emissions have no significant long-run effect, while their lagged short-run coefficient is negative and significant, suggesting a delayed adjustment process. The negative and significant error-correction term confirms convergence toward long-run equilibrium. These findings suggest that the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources should accelerate the transition to lower-carbon domestic energy use, the Ministry of Trade should incorporate environmental considerations into fuel-export policies, and the Ministry of Environment should strengthen ecological monitoring of energy-related activities.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://journal.perbanas.ac.id/index.php/jebav/article/download/5776/2085first seen 2026-10-23 06:02:46 · last seen 2026-11-06 05:32:03
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