Relative trajectories of economic and ecological activities during industrialization in the United Kingdom and China reveal a sustainable transition with frequent degradations
イギリスと中国の工業化における経済・生態活動の相対的軌跡が示す持続可能な移行と頻繁な後退 (AI 翻訳)
Xiaoyu Hou, Tianyi Zhou, Xianyuan Chang, Zhaoping Wu, Feng Mao, Lijun Wang, Ying Ge, Jie Chang, Yong Min
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、英国（200年以上）と中国（100年以上）の新聞コーパスを分析し、経済語と生態語の出現頻度・多様性・相対的動態を定量化した。その結果、産業構造がグリーン化にシフトするにつれ、生態活動が経済活動を追い抜く時期があること、両国の一人当たりGDP9,000ドル未満では軌跡が類似していること、変動サイクルが短縮しシステムの安定性が増していること、英国では環境クズネッツ曲線がM字型、中国ではN字型であることなどが明らかになった。
English
This study uses culturomics to analyze economic and ecological word frequencies in UK and Chinese newspapers over centuries. It finds that ecological activities overtook economic ones in the 1970s (UK) and 1980s (China) as economies shifted to greener sectors. Both countries show similar trajectories at low GDP levels, but China lags less than the UK. The environmental Kuznets curve is M-shaped for the UK and N-shaped for China, indicating repeated ecological setbacks during sustainable transitions.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でも、産業構造の転換やグリーン成長政策（GX推進）の長期的な影響を評価する上で参考になる。特に、環境クズネッツ曲線の形状や回復サイクルの知見は、2050年カーボンニュートラル目標に向けた政策設計に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This paper provides historical evidence of sustainability transitions in industrialized economies, which can inform global GX strategies. The finding of an N-shaped EKC for China suggests that latecomers may experience earlier ecological setbacks, highlighting the need for proactive green policies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:GX researchers can learn about the long-term dynamics of economic-ecological interactions and the EKC patterns, which may inform models of sustainable transition.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can use these historical patterns to anticipate ecological setbacks during industrial transitions and design policies to mitigate them.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Understanding the long-term relationship between economic and ecological activities is crucial for sustainability research, yet quantitative evidence of its evolution remains limited. This study applies high-throughput culturomics analysis to newspaper corpora, analysing ecological and economic words from newspapers spanning more than two centuries in the United Kingdom (an early industrializer) and over a century in China (a latecomer). We quantify the occurrence, diversity, and relative dynamics of ecological and economic words since industrialization, revealing shifts in subcategory composition and relative dominance. We have four major findings (1) Nonecofriendly economic activities (e.g., mining) dominated early on, but ecological activities overtook them in the 1970s in the UK and the 1980s in China, as economic structures shifted to greener activities (e.g., finance). (2) Both countries showed similar relative ecological‒economic trajectories when per capita GDP was less than $9,000. However, China's ecological growth lagged approximately 70 years behind its economic growth-shorter than the UK's 160-year lag, indicating a catch-up effect. (3) Fluctuation cycles shortened to approximately 28 years (economic) and 23 years (ecological), with variation converging to ∼20 %, suggesting increasing systemic stability. (4) The UK experienced three phases of ecological recovery (an M-shaped environmental Kuznets curve [EKC]), whereas China has just entered a second decline (an N-shaped EKC). These results indicate that industrial societies with different starting points follow similar trajectories towards sustainability but face repeated ecological setbacks. Understanding these dynamics can inform green policy design, support ecological risk prediction, and help late-industrializing and developing countries effectively navigate unsustainable phases.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openaire https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.127059first seen 2026-05-14 21:55:22
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