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A comparative modelling approach to environmental-economic trade-offs of low-carbon fuels in coastal shipping

沿岸海運における低炭素燃料の環境・経済トレードオフに関する比較モデリングアプローチ (AI 翻訳)

Oleksiy Melnyk, Svitlana Onyshchenko, Iryna Savelieva, Aditya Rio Prabowo, Vlada Zhykharieva

Journal of Shipping and Trade📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-30#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.1186/s41072-026-00236-4
原典: https://doi.org/10.1186/s41072-026-00236-4

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、沿岸海運におけるバイオ燃料、メタノール、アンモニア、水素などの低炭素燃料の導入が環境と経済に与える影響を比較する。ライフサイクルパラメータと限界削減費用を統合した評価モデルを提案し、2050年までのハイブリッド段階的移行シナリオを分析。HFOからBio-LNGやグリーンメタノールへの転換でCO₂・SOx排出は削減されるが、運航コストは増加する。

English

This study compares low-carbon fuels (biofuels, methanol, ammonia, hydrogen) for coastal shipping, integrating life cycle parameters and marginal abatement costs in a model with scenarios to 2050. A hybrid gradual transition from early biofuels to hydrogen/ammonia is proposed. Switching from HFO to Bio-LNG or green methanol reduces CO₂ and SOx emissions but increases operating costs.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本は沿岸海運の重要国であり、水素・アンモニア燃料の戦略と整合する。本モデルは国内の脱炭素ロードマップ策定に活用可能で、SSBJ非開示企業の移行計画にも示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a practical modelling framework for maritime decarbonization, relevant to IMO targets and global transition finance. It offers a structured comparison of fuel options that can inform corporate transition plans and policy decisions under ISSB/CSRD frameworks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a replicable integrated assessment model for comparing low-carbon maritime fuels.

🏢実務担当者:Useful for shipping companies planning fleet decarbonization and fuel switching strategies.

🏛政策担当者:Offers evidence on cost-emission trade-offs to inform port and fuel infrastructure policies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract The article presents an interdisciplinary study examining the environmental and economic implications of introducing low-carbon fuels in coastal shipping. The main focus is on the comparison of alternative energy sources - from biofuels and methanol to ammonia and hydrogen - by the criteria of emissions, cost, technical readiness and logistical feasibility. A comprehensive assessment model is proposed that integrates life cycle parameters, marginal abatement cost (MAC) and strategic implementation scenarios until 2050. Particular attention is paid to a hybrid gradual transition scenario that combines early biofuels with a long-term transition to hydrogen and ammonia. The presented results serve as a practical tool for developing decarbonization roadmaps and decision-making in the transport and port sectors. The work has practical implications for public policy, shipowners and investors in the context of the energy transition and climate commitments. The results showed that switching from HFO to Bio-LNG or green methanol reduces CO₂ and SOx emissions, while increasing total operating costs.

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