第15次五カ年計画下における中国産業サプライチェーンの戦略的再編：デジタル変革・経済レジリエンス・持続可能な発展の実証評価

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:デジタル化と炭素効率・強靭性の媒介構造を定量化した実証設計が参考になる。

🏢実務担当者:サプライヤー多様化とデータ可視化が炭素原単位と途絶損失の双方を改善しうる点を投資判断に活用できる。

🏛政策担当者:産業データ基盤整備とデジタルインフラ投資が強靭性・脱炭素の両立に寄与する示唆。

China’s 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030) establishes a strategic framework for accelerating industrial modernization, strengthening supply chain security, advancing digital transformation, and promoting sustainable economic development. This study empirically investigates the influence of digital transformation on industrial supply chain restructuring, economic resilience, and environmental sustainability across China’s manufacturing sector. The research employs a longitudinal dataset comprising 9,600 firm-year observations from 1,200 manufacturing enterprises distributed across 30 provincial-level regions during 2018–2025. Data were integrated from enterprise financial reports, industrial production statistics, digital technology adoption records, logistics performance indicators, and environmental disclosures. A comprehensive analytical framework incorporating entropy-weighted composite indices, two-way fixed-effects panel regression, mediation analysis, heterogeneity assessment, and robustness testing was developed to evaluate relationships among digital transformation, industrial resilience, and sustainable development. Empirical results indicate that a one-standard-deviation increase in digital transformation is associated with a 0.18-standard-deviation improvement in supply chain resilience and a 0.14-standard-deviation enhancement in sustainability performance. Manufacturing enterprises with diversified domestic supplier networks experienced 11.6% lower disruption-related production losses, while digitally advanced firms achieved 8.9% lower carbon emissions per unit of industrial output compared with less digitally integrated enterprises. Mediation analysis reveals that improved supply chain visibility accounts for approximately 28% of the relationship between digital transformation and industrial resilience. Heterogeneity analysis further demonstrates stronger associations among high-technology manufacturing enterprises and firms located in regions possessing advanced digital infrastructure. Robustness assessments using alternative indicator specifications and lagged explanatory variables support the stability of the estimated relationships. These findings emphasize the importance of intelligent manufacturing systems, supplier diversification, integrated industrial data platforms, and green technological innovation in strengthening industrial competitiveness. The study provides an evidence-based analytical foundation for aligning China’s industrial restructuring priorities with the 15th Five-Year Plan, offering policy recommendations for enhancing technological self-reliance, mitigating supply chain disruptions, improving resource efficiency, and supporting coordinated, resilient, and environmentally sustainable industrial development across diverse manufacturing sectors and regional economic systems. References Ahmad, B., Ali, S., Muneer, M., Fatima, A., & Abbas, N. (2025). Wind energy integration into the SAARC region: A comprehensive review of optimal wind sites for a sustainable super smart grid. Wind Energy, 3(2). Ahmad, B., Jillani, S. A., Rafique, M., & Soomro, A. A. (2026a, January). Design and monitoring of a tree-inspired vertical axis wind turbine for efficient urban wind utilization. In 2026 1st International Conference on Innovations in Information and Communication Technologies (IICT) (pp. 1–6). IEEE. Ahmad, B., Majeed, M. 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