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EVALUATING METHANE EMISSION QUANTIFICATION STRATEGIES FOR DECARBONIZATION IN UPSTREAM OIL AND GAS BASED ON THE OGMP 2.0 FRAMEWORK: A DECISION MAKING ANALYSIS AT PT BLUE ENERGI

OGMP 2.0フレームワークに基づく上流石油・ガスにおけるメタン排出量定量化戦略の評価:PT Blue Energiにおける意思決定分析 (AI 翻訳)

William Sukyono, Pri Hermawan

Zenodoプレプリント2026-07-06#エネルギー転換対象セクター: energy
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21271587
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/21271587
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、インドネシアの上流石油・ガス事業者PT Blue Energiを対象に、OGMP 2.0フレームワークに基づくメタン排出量定量化戦略を評価した。SWOT分析、Kepner-Tregoe法、AHPを組み合わせた混合手法を用い、専門家のペア比較から各レベル(Level 4, 5)での最適手法を特定した。結果は、Level 4ではQOGIやプロセスシミュレーションなどが、Level 5ではドローン調査が最適とされた。この枠組みは実践的なメタン報告の参考となる。

English

This study evaluates methane quantification strategies for upstream oil and gas under OGMP 2.0, using a mixed-methods design of SWOT, Kepner-Tregoe, and AHP. Focusing on PT Blue Energi, an Indonesian operator, it identifies optimal source-level and site-level measurement methods based on expert judgments. Results show QOGI, process simulation, and drone surveys as top choices for different levels. The framework provides a replicable decision-making tool for measurement-based methane reporting.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文はインドネシアの石油・ガス事業者を対象としていますが、OGMP 2.0フレームワークは日本企業のサプライチェーン排出量算定やSSBJ対応にも示唆を与えます。特にメタン排出の定量化手法は、JOGMECや日本のエネルギー企業のGHG管理に応用可能です。

In the global GX context

While focused on an Indonesian upstream operator, this study offers a replicable expert-based framework for methane quantification under OGMP 2.0, relevant for global oil and gas firms aiming for Level 5 Gold Standard. It demonstrates how decision analysis can support measurement-based reporting, which is increasingly demanded by frameworks like TCFD and ISSB.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Useful for researchers interested in methane quantification methods and multi-criteria decision-making (AHP) applied to GHG reporting.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams can adapt the AHP framework to select cost-effective methane measurement technologies for OGMP 2.0 compliance.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can see how expert elicitation supports standard-setting for methane measurement protocols in emerging economies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Methane is a potent greenhouse gas with a global warming potential more than 80 times that of carbon dioxide over a 20-year horizon, making methane mitigation a priority for near-term decarbonization in the oil and gas industry. PT Blue Energi, an Indonesian upstream operator, joined the Oil and Gas Methane Partnership (OGMP) 2.0 in 2025 and targets the Level 5 Gold Standard, which requires a transition from emission-factor reporting (Levels 2-3) to source-level quantification (Level 4) and reconciled site-level measurement (Level 5). This study evaluates methane quantification strategies through a mixed-methods design combining qualitative situational analysis (SWOT and Kepner-Tregoe) with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Pairwise-comparison data from ten subject-matter experts were aggregated by geometric mean, with priority weights derived from the principal eigenvector and consistency verified for every matrix. The results are source- and level-specific: at Level 4, Quantitative Optical Gas Imaging (QOGI) ranked first for fugitives (34.7%), process simulation using UniSim for flares (35.1%), and engineering calculation with QOGI for venting (40.1%); at Level 5, drone survey ranked highest (35.3%). All matrices satisfied the consistency requirement (CR < 0.10) and rankings were robust under sensitivity analysis, offering PT Blue Energi a replicable, expert-based framework for measurement-based methane reporting.

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