トルコにおける水力発電がエネルギー供給安全保障に与える影響：ARDL分析による実証
The impact of hydropower on energy supply security in Türkiye: Evidence from an ARDL analysis (原題)
Ömer Faruk Altunç, Sıddıka Öztekin
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
トルコの1990〜2023年データを用い、水力発電量がエネルギー供給安全保障に与える影響をARDL手法で分析した研究。長期的には水力発電がエネルギー輸入を削減し供給安全保障を高める一方、経済成長は短期的に輸入を増加させる。水力の戦略的役割を実証的に示す。
English
Using Turkish data from 1990–2023, this ARDL study examines how hydropower generation affects energy supply security. It finds hydropower reduces energy imports in the long run, enhancing security, while economic growth raises imports in the short run. Hydropower plays a strategic role in sustaining supply security.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本は水力依存度が高くなく直接の示唆は限定的だが、再エネ拡大とエネルギー自給率向上を結びつける議論は、日本のエネルギー安全保障政策やGX推進の文脈で参照価値がある。
In the global GX context
Adds to the global literature linking renewable expansion to energy security and reduced import dependence, relevant to transition-planning debates under ISSB/TCFD where energy resilience is a strategic climate-risk consideration.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:再エネとエネルギー安全保障の実証手法（ARDL）の応用例として参考になる。
🏢実務担当者:再エネ調達やエネルギー調達リスク評価の背景理解に資する。
🏛政策担当者:再エネ拡大が輸入依存と供給安全保障に与える長期効果を政策設計に反映できる。
📄 Abstract（原文）
Dependence on fossil fuels poses significant risks to energy security due to factors such as geopolitical tensions, climate change, and supply disruptions. To mitigate these risks, many countries have recognized the potential of renewable energy in enhancing energy security. Türkiye has been proactively pursuing renewable energy development efforts in line with its climate commitments. This study examines the impact of hydropower generation on energy supply security in Türkiye using annual data for the 1990-2023 period obtained from the World Development Indicators (WDI) database. In the model, energy imports were specified as the dependent variable, while hydropower generation, energy intensity, and economic growth were included as explanatory variables. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method was applied to examine the short- and long-run relationships among the variables. The findings show that hydropower generation enhances energy supply security in Türkiye by reducing energy imports in the long run. In contrast, economic growth was found to increase energy imports in the short run. The results reveal that hydropower has a strategic role in the sustainability of energy supply security for Türkiye.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/ijes/article/1959197first seen 2026-10-18 04:43:19
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