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Preparing for just green transition – a scenario-based assessment in a prefabricated housing district in Tirana, Albania

公正なグリーン移行への準備 – アルバニア・ティラナのプレハブ住宅地区におけるシナリオベースの評価 (AI 翻訳)

Kejt Dhrami, Merita Toska, Enkela Poro, Fiona Imami

Europa XXI📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-17#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.7163/eu21.2025.49.11
原典: https://doi.org/10.7163/eu21.2025.49.11
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、アルバニア・ティラナのプレハブ住宅地区を対象に、2040年までの4つの将来シナリオ(最小限の改修から全面的な再開発まで)を評価し、公正なグリーン移行の実現可能性を検討する。調査、実測、共同設計、GISマッピングを用いてコストと便益を分析し、地域コミュニティへの影響を明らかにする。結果は西バルカン諸国の長期的な改修戦略に示唆を与える。

English

This paper assesses four scenarios for a just green transition in a prefabricated housing district in Tirana, Albania, by 2040. Using surveys, on-site measurements, co-design, and GIS mapping, it evaluates costs, benefits, and co-benefits for the community. Findings provide evidence for local renovation strategies aligned with the Western Balkans Green Agenda.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも住宅ストックの改修と省エネが課題だが、本論文はコミュニティ参加型のシナリオ評価手法を提供する。ただし、アルバニア固有の文脈に基づくため、直接適用には調整が必要。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global literature on just transition by demonstrating a participatory scenario approach at neighborhood level in a Western Balkan context. It offers empirical evidence for integrating social equity into green renovation strategies, relevant for regions with similar housing challenges.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Methodology for ex-ante scenario assessment of transition pathways using mixed methods and stakeholder co-design.

🏢実務担当者:Insights on community engagement and co-benefits assessment for housing renovation projects.

🏛政策担当者:Evidence for drafting long-term local renovation strategies aligned with regional green agendas.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The global imperative to transition to sustainable, carbon-free systems has a significant impact on urban areas, especially the residential sector. Through a case study of Tirana (Albania), this paper aims to investigate how a just green transition can be achieved at the neighbourhood level and what impacts can be expected in a prefabricated, multi-household residential area. Employing an ex-ante scenario-based approach, the research highlights and compares four alternative pathways for the future development of the housing stock by 2040, ranging from minimal upgrades (enhanced energy performance) to integrated greening (enhanced environmental performance with renewables and nature-based solutions) and full redevelopment. Utilising both qualitative and quantitative methods, including surveys, insite measurements, co-design processes with local stakeholders, and GIS-based environmental mapping, the study evaluates the costs, benefits, and co-benefits of implementing a just green transition in a challenging urban context, with a focus on neighbourhood communities. Findings from this research provide valuable evidence to inform the drafting of long-term renovation strategies at the local level in Western Balkan countries, in line with recommendations from the Green Agenda in the Western Balkans.

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