THE NEXUS BETWEEN RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENTS AND GDP GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM AN ARDL BOUNDS TESTING APPROACH (2005–2025)
ウズベキスタンにおける再生可能エネルギー投資とGDP成長の関係:ARDL境界検定アプローチによる実証分析(2005–2025) (AI 翻訳)
Almuratova, Nurlio'lmasoy Naym kizi
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、ウズベキスタンの時系列データ(2005–2025)を用いて、再生可能エネルギー投資(REI)と経済成長(GDP)の長期的関係をARDL境界検定手法で分析。1%のREI増加が長期的にGDPを0.284%押し上げることを確認し、2018年の構造変化が市場自由化による投資効果増大を示唆。グリーン経済戦略2030への政策的根拠を提供。
English
This study uses ARDL bounds testing on Uzbek annual data (2005-2025) to find a long-run cointegrated relationship: a 1% increase in renewable energy investments raises GDP by 0.284%. A structural break in 2018 is attributed to market liberalization. Findings support Uzbekistan's Green Economy Strategy 2030.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
ウズベキスタン特化のため日本のGX文脈への直接的な示唆は限定的だが、新興国における再エネ投資のGDP効果を実証した点は、日本の途上国支援や海外展開戦略の参考となりうる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence from a Central Asian transition economy, contributing to the global literature on renewable energy investments and economic growth. It demonstrates how structural reforms amplify the growth impact of green investments, relevant for countries designing green stimulus packages.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Empirical methodology (ARDL bounds test, structural break) for energy-growth nexus in a transition economy; useful for comparative studies.
🏢実務担当者:Provides evidence for corporate investment decisions in Uzbekistan's renewable energy sector, influencing project finance and risk assessment.
🏛政策担当者:Empirical support for renewable energy targets and green economy strategies; highlights the role of market liberalization in enhancing investment multipliers.
📄 Abstract(原文)
This study investigates the dynamic, long-run relationship between renewable energy investments (REI) and economic growth (GDP) in Uzbekistan utilizing annual time-series data from 2005 to 2025 . Employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, the empirical framework estimates both short- and long-run elasticities while controlling for structural instability . The bounds test confirms a robust cointegrating vector between the variables, demonstrating that a 1% increase in renewable energy investments yields a 0.284% expansion in real output over the long term . Furthermore, the application of cumulative sum tests identifies a critical structural break in 2018, corresponding to institutional market liberalizations that amplified the capital multiplier effect within the domestic energy matrix . These findings offer empirical justification for the targets outlined in Uzbekistan's "Green Economy Strategy 2030" and Presidential Decree PF-60 .
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- Zenodo https://zenodo.org/records/20450853first seen 2026-05-30 04:25:22 · last seen 2026-06-02 04:14:42
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