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Low-carbon transition pathways in thai sugarcane agriculture: a scenario-based evaluation of cost-effective mitigation options

タイサトウキビ農業における低炭素移行経路:費用対効果の高い緩和オプションのシナリオベース評価 (AI 翻訳)

Sahajanee Thaisonthi, Phimsupha Kokchang, Weerin Wangjiraniran

Figshareデータセット2026-06-17#agriculture対象セクター: agriculture
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.32717589
原典: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.32717589

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、タイのサトウキビ栽培における温室効果ガス排出削減戦略を評価。11の技術を限界削減費用曲線で分析し、政策シナリオ下での費用対効果を比較。Clear Skyシナリオで最大5.33 MtCO₂e/年の削減ポテンシャルを示した。

English

This study evaluates cost-effective GHG mitigation strategies for sugarcane cultivation in Thailand using a marginal abatement cost curve approach under four policy scenarios. The Clear Sky scenario achieves the highest mitigation potential of 5.33 MtCO₂e per year at lowest cost. Findings highlight the need for financial incentives and technology access to accelerate adoption.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

タイの農業セクター向けだが、日本にとってはサトウキビは沖縄などで限定的。ただしMACCを用いた意思決定フレームワークは日本の農業GHG管理にも応用可能。

In the global GX context

This case study from Thailand demonstrates a transferable MACC-based framework for prioritizing agricultural mitigation technologies. It provides evidence on cost-effective pathways that could inform similar analyses in other emerging economies or regions with high-emission crops.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:The MACC methodology under different policy scenarios offers a reproducible framework for agricultural GHG mitigation analysis in other contexts.

🏢実務担当者:Sugarcane industry stakeholders can use the cost-effectiveness ranking to prioritize investments in technologies like biofertilizers and solar irrigation.

🏛政策担当者:The Clear Sky scenario's high abatement at negative cost suggests that well-designed subsidies and technology access can yield both emission reductions and economic benefits.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The agricultural sector plays a critical role in national climate strategies, particularly in emerging economies where high emission crops are prevalent. This study evaluates cost-effective greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation strategies for sugarcane cultivation in Thailand using a scenario-based framework. Eleven mitigation technologies including biofertilizer, solar irrigation, and machine harvesting were assessed through a marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) approach under four policy relevant future scenarios. The results reveal significant variation in abatement potential and cost-effectiveness depending on institutional support, financial incentives, and technology accessibility. The Clear Sky scenario achieves the highest mitigation potential, 5.33 MtCO₂e per year, with marginal abatement costs ranging from negative 258.47 to 65.27 USD per tCO₂e. These findings highlight the need for targeted investment and enabling policies to accelerate technology adoption and realize sustainable transitions in agricultural GHG management systems. The methodology provides a transferable decision-support framework for guiding climate-smart agriculture under diverse governance and socio-economic contexts. Develop 4 policy scenarios for low-carbon sugarcane farming in Thailand.Use MACC analysis to prioritize GHG mitigation technologies.Clear Sky scenario enables highest emission reduction with lowest cost.Key drivers include financial incentives and access to technology.Supports policy alignment with Thailand’s 2065 net-zero target. Develop 4 policy scenarios for low-carbon sugarcane farming in Thailand. Use MACC analysis to prioritize GHG mitigation technologies. Clear Sky scenario enables highest emission reduction with lowest cost. Key drivers include financial incentives and access to technology. Supports policy alignment with Thailand’s 2065 net-zero target.

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