Policy-induced market coupling in renewable energy: A system dynamics study of green certificates, carbon emissions, and power rights
再生可能エネルギーにおける政策誘導型市場連携：グリーン証明書、炭素排出、電力権のシステムダイナミクス研究 (AI 翻訳)
Jie Liu, Yongshuai Ma, Qingyu Li, Jingxuan Zhang, Yu Hao
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、再生可能エネルギー義務比率と発電権取引がグリーン証明書や炭素排出権価格に与える影響をシステムダイナミクスモデルで分析。短期的には再エネ導入促進効果があるが、長期的には抑制効果が生じることを示し、政策目標の適切な設定が重要と結論。
English
This study uses a system dynamics model to analyze how renewable energy quotas and power generation rights trading affect green certificate and carbon emission prices. It finds short-term promotion but long-term inhibition effects on renewable energy deployment, emphasizing the need for careful policy target setting.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、FITからFIPへの移行やカーボンプライシング導入が進む中、再エネと炭素市場の連携設計の参考となる。特に、目標比率の成長率設定が市場に与える非線形効果は、日本の政策立案に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
As countries integrate renewable energy and carbon markets, this study offers insights into the dynamic interactions between policy targets and market outcomes. The nonlinear effects observed are valuable for designing effective market coupling mechanisms globally.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a system dynamics framework for analyzing policy-market interactions in renewable energy and carbon trading.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of balancing short-term and long-term effects when setting renewable quota and trading targets.
🏛政策担当者:Offers evidence on how the growth rate of renewable quotas and power generation rights trading ratios can influence clean energy deployment.
📄 Abstract（原文）
With the power market reform deepening, the increasing integration of policy objectives and market mechanisms has increased the complexity of the power market. In order to clarify the dynamic relationship between increasingly complex policies and markets, a framework for carbon rights trading and green energy certification and electricity market has been implemented through market mechanisms. Based on this, scenario design and Dynamic Model simulation are carried out, and the sensitivity of key factors is analyzed. Results show that (1) the percentage allocated to renewable energy obligations has an obvious promotion effect on the construction of renewable energy units; the transactions involving power generation rights promote the construction of sustainable energy infrastructure in the coming years and inhibit their development in the long run. (2) Renewable energy quota ratio and power generation right trading target are closely related to green certificate price and carbon emission right price. (3) When the growth rate target of the renewable quota ratio is below 1.5% and the target of the power generation right trading ratio is below 3%, it will have a promoting effect on the accelerated deployment of clean energy technologies.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0275911first seen 2026-05-05 22:54:45
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