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Diagnosing Institutional Resilience in Aging Critical Infrastructure: The VILDE Framework and AHP-Based Governance Priority Structure Under Climate Stress

気候ストレス下の老朽化重要インフラにおける制度的レジリエンスの診断:VILDEフレームワークとAHPに基づくガバナンス優先構造 (AI 翻訳)

Yuzhuo Qin, Jae Eun Lee, An Chen, Seol A. Kwon, Ju Ho Lee, Zhenyun Jin, Benjamin Tibbie, Lin Dong, Lixin Zhang

Applied Sciences📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-02#気候リスクOrigin: Global対象セクター: infrastructure
DOI: 10.3390/app16157682
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/app16157682
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、気候ストレス下の老朽化重要インフラの制度的レジリエンスを診断するため、VILDEフレームワークを開発し、AHPを用いてガバナンス優先構造を導出した。専門家20名の評価から、専門性と献身が高い優先度を示し、鄭州の事例でガバナンス能力指数0.414を算出。制度的ガバナンス能力としてのレジリエンスを再概念化し、投資優先順位の決定に貢献する。

English

This study develops the VILDE framework and uses AHP to derive governance priorities for aging critical infrastructure under climate stress. Expert evaluations highlight expertise and devotion as top priorities, and a case study of Zhengzhou yields a Governance Capacity Index of 0.414. It reconceptualizes resilience as institutional governance capacity, aiding investment prioritization.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、気候変動によるインフラ老朽化が課題であり、国土強靭化や防災投資の優先順位付けに示唆を与える。SSBJ開示やTCFD対応においても、物理的リスクへのガバナンス対応が求められており、本フレームワークは投資判断の根拠として活用可能。

In the global GX context

Globally, this framework offers a governance-centric lens for climate risk assessment, complementing engineering-focused resilience models. It supports ISSB and CSRD-aligned disclosure by emphasizing institutional capacity, and provides a structured method for prioritizing adaptation investments under climate stress.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a novel governance framework (VILDE) for diagnosing institutional resilience, with AHP-based prioritization that can be tested in other contexts.

🏢実務担当者:Offers a structured approach to prioritize governance investments for infrastructure resilience, useful for climate risk management and disclosure.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the importance of institutional governance in infrastructure resilience, suggesting where to allocate resources for maximum impact.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study diagnoses institutional resilience in aging critical infrastructure under climate stress by developing the VILDE framework and deriving an AHP-based governance priority structure. Although climate-induced infrastructure failures are often attributed to physical vulnerability, cascading breakdowns are fundamentally shaped by institutional governance constraints, which existing engineering-oriented resilience frameworks cannot systematically diagnose. The study operationalizes five governance dimensions—Values, Institutions, Leadership, Devotion, and Expertise (VILDE)—through the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), using pairwise evaluations from 20 purposively selected experts in infrastructure management, disaster governance, and public administration. Expertise (w = 0.452) and Devotion (w = 0.276) received the highest priority weights, together accounting for 72.8% of the aggregated governance weight, and sensitivity analysis indicates that this ranking remains robust under ±30% perturbation. A documentary-based application to the Zhengzhou July 2021 urban infrastructure failure yielded a Governance Capacity Index (VILDE-GCI) of 0.414, with deficiencies concentrated in technical maintenance expertise, resilience enhancement expertise, and financial commitment. Under a simplified equal-resource assumption, scenario simulations suggest that weight-guided interventions generate greater diagnostic improvement per resource unit than politically visible but lower-priority alternatives. The framework reconceptualizes resilience as institutional governance capacity and supports prioritizing governance investments under escalating climate risks.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

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