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Can CPEC 2.0 Generate New Quality Productive Forces? A Conditional Conversion Framework for Infrastructure, Industrial Upgrading, and High-Quality Development in Pakistan

CPEC 2.0は新たな質の高い生産力を生み出せるか?パキスタンにおけるインフラ、産業高度化、高品質発展のための条件付き転換フレームワーク (AI 翻訳)

Jun Tang, Wang Ni, Haiyan Ma, Ting Wang

Pacific International Journal📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-20#その他
DOI: 10.55014/pij.v9i3.1031
原典: https://doi.org/10.55014/pij.v9i3.1031

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、CPEC 2.0がCPEC 1.0で蓄積されたインフラ資産を生産性向上につなげる条件を分析。グリーン転換やデジタル接続性などのメカニズムを検討し、パキスタンの吸収能力や制度改革の重要性を指摘する。

English

This study examines whether CPEC 2.0 can convert infrastructure assets from CPEC 1.0 into productivity-enhancing development in Pakistan. It analyzes mechanisms such as green transition and digital connectivity, concluding that outcomes depend on Pakistan's absorptive capacity and institutional reforms.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文は日本GX文脈からは間接的だが、海外インフラ投資とグリーン転換の複合的視点を提供する。パキスタンの事例は新興国での低炭素エネルギー導入の課題を示す。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global discourse on development corridors, linking infrastructure to green transition and inclusive growth. It offers a framework for evaluating conversion mechanisms from infrastructure to productivity, relevant for Belt and Road and other large-scale investments.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:For GX researchers, the paper's conditional framework for green transition within development corridors offers a nuanced perspective on capability formation.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams in infrastructure or energy sectors can learn about the importance of local absorptive capacity for green infrastructure projects.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers in developing countries and donor agencies should note the emphasis on institutional coordination and regulatory predictability for green transition success.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study examines whether the second phase of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC 2.0) can convert infrastructure assets accumulated under CPEC 1.0 into productivity-enhancing development capabilities in Pakistan. It translates the Chinese policy concept of new quality productive forces into a comparative analytical framework centered on technological innovation, industrial upgrading, green transition, digital connectivity, and inclusive development. The study adopts a theory-guided qualitative case design, combining structured reading of policy documents, mechanism tracing, and indicator-based triangulation. The argument is conditional: CPEC 2.0 marks a strategic and discursive shift from infrastructure accumulation to productive conversion, but this shift is not itself an outcome. Special economic zones, digital connectivity, lower-carbon energy systems, agricultural modernization, and Gwadar-linked logistics are plausible conversion mechanisms. Their developmental effects depend on Pakistan's absorptive capacity, energy-sector reform, institutional coordination, security governance, regulatory predictability, and the ability of domestic firms and local communities to capture spillovers. The study contributes to Belt and Road Initiative and development-corridor scholarship by reframing CPEC as a contested process of capability formation rather than merely a geopolitical corridor, a debt-financed infrastructure program, or a list of bilateral projects.

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