Disentangling Emission Drivers in a Rural Territorial System: Integrated GHG Inventory and Mitigation Scenarios in Northern Morocco
農村地域システムにおける排出要因の解明：モロッコ北部における統合GHGインベントリと緩和シナリオ (AI 翻訳)
Mohammed Thaiki, Zakaryae Koubaa, Rifat Ballot, Hinde Cherkaoui Dekkaki
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
モロッコのAit Youssef Ou Ali市を対象に、IPCC 2006手法を用いて2024年のGHG排出量を推計。総排出量は43.38 Gg CO2eqで、エネルギー部門が支配的（46.56 Gg CO2eq）。AFOLU部門は炭素吸収源（-7.01 Gg CO2eq）。BAUシナリオでは2030年に51.63 Gg CO2eqへ増加するが、緩和シナリオでは42.85 Gg CO2eqに抑制され、8.78 Gg CO2eqの削減が可能。地域構造と政策介入が排出動態に強く影響することを示す。
English
This study quantifies GHG emissions in Ait Youssef Ou Ali Municipality, Morocco, for 2024 using IPCC 2006 methodology. Total emissions reach 43.38 Gg CO2eq, dominated by the energy sector (46.56 Gg CO2eq), while AFOLU acts as a net sink (-7.01 Gg CO2eq). Under a mitigation scenario aligned with national targets, emissions stabilize at 42.85 Gg CO2eq by 2030, avoiding 8.78 Gg CO2eq. Results highlight the influence of territorial structure and policy intervention on emission dynamics.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本の自治体レベルでのGHGインベントリ整備や地域気候計画に参考となる。特に、エネルギー・運輸・廃棄物・炭素吸収源を統合した分析手法は、日本の地方自治体の排出削減策立案に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This study provides a replicable framework for local GHG inventories and scenario analysis, relevant to global subnational climate action. It demonstrates how territorial structure and policy choices shape emission trajectories, offering insights for regions aligning with national climate targets under the Paris Agreement.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a case study of integrated GHG inventory and scenario analysis at municipal scale, useful for comparative research on subnational emission drivers.
🏢実務担当者:Offers a methodology for local governments to develop GHG inventories and evaluate mitigation scenarios, supporting climate action planning.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the importance of sector-specific mitigation strategies and the role of AFOLU as a carbon sink, informing territorial climate policies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Greenhouse gas emissions at the local scale result from interactions between energy systems, land use, and socio-economic activities. This study quantifies emissions in Ait Youssef Ou Ali Municipality (Morocco) for 2024 using the IPCC 2006 methodology, combining sectoral analysis, gas characterization, and scenario-based projections. Total emissions reach 43.38 Gg CO2eq, with a strong dominance of the energy sector (46.56 Gg CO2eq), driven by industrial activities, road transport, and public lighting. In contrast, the AFOLU sector acts as a net carbon sink (−7.01 Gg CO2eq) due to vegetation and soil carbon sequestration. The waste sector contributes 3.75 Gg CO2eq, mainly through methane emissions from solid waste. CO2 represents the largest share of emissions, while CH4 and N2O remain lower in volume but significant due to their higher global warming potential. Scenario analysis highlights divergent trajectories. Under a Business As Usual scenario, emissions increase to 51.63 Gg CO2eq by 2030. Under a mitigation scenario aligned with national targets (−17%), emissions stabilize at 42.85 Gg CO2eq, avoiding 8.78 Gg CO2eq. The results show that emission dynamics are strongly influenced by territorial structure and policy intervention. Effective mitigation requires targeted actions in energy systems, transport, waste management, and carbon sequestration. Local inventories thus provide a critical basis for climate planning and territorially adapted mitigation strategies..
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202672601040/pdffirst seen 2026-08-03 04:44:40
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