How to break the deadlock of coastal blue carbon ecosystem restoration? Empirical evidence from Zhejiang’s practices in China
沿岸ブルーカーボン生態系回復の行き詰まりを打破する方法は？中国浙江省の実践からの実証的エビデンス (AI 翻訳)
Ying Cheng, Yuemei Xue
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、沿岸ブルーカーボン生態系の持続可能な回復を促進するため、進化ゲーム理論とフレーミング効果理論を用いて「アメとムチ」のインセンティブ制度を提案。中国浙江省のEOD事例を基にシミュレーションし、初期段階では補助金優位、中期では罰則強化、成熟期では均衡政策を経て段階的にインセンティブを廃止する3段階政策が必要と示した。ブルーカーボン価格上昇と肯定的情報フレームが企業参加を促進する。
English
This study proposes 'carrot-and-stick' incentive schemes for coastal blue carbon ecosystem restoration using evolutionary game theory and framing effect theory. Based on an empirical simulation of the EOD case in Zhejiang, China, it identifies three stages: initial (more subsidies, fewer penalties), middle (fewer subsidies, more penalties), and mature (balanced subsidies and penalties before phasing out). Rising blue carbon prices and positive information framing drive enterprise participation. The study offers policy recommendations for staged incentives and blue carbon market development.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本ではブルーカーボン市場がまだ発展途上であり、本論文の段階的インセンティブ設計や情報フレーム戦略は、日本のブルーカーボン生態系回復政策（例：ブルーカーボンクレジット制度）の設計に示唆を与える。特に、企業参加を促すための補助金・罰則のバランスと段階的移行は、日本のJブルークレジット制度の改善に活用可能。
In the global GX context
This paper provides a novel game-theoretic framework for blue carbon restoration policy, which is highly relevant to global carbon removal strategies and nature-based solutions. The staged incentive approach can inform national blue carbon crediting schemes (e.g., in Australia, UK, and Japan) and supports the integration of ecosystem restoration into national carbon accounting frameworks.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Useful for scholars studying blue carbon policy, evolutionary game models in environmental management, and nature-based solutions.
🏢実務担当者:Policymakers and environmental agencies can apply the stage-based incentive design to improve blue carbon credit programs and engage private sector.
🏛政策担当者:Offers a clear blueprint for phased 'carrot-and-stick' policies to accelerate blue carbon restoration, relevant for NDC updates.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Abstract The degradation of coastal blue carbon ecosystems (BCEs) is progressing rapidly, raising environmental concerns. The sustainable restoration of BCE faces formidable challenges, mainly due to the uncertainties of blue carbon benefits and the inadequacy of existing government incentives. This study proposes ‘carrot-and-stick’ incentive schemes through an evolutionary game approach grounded in the blueprint of eco-environment-oriented development (EOD). Given enterprises’ bounded rationality, this study reshapes their decision-making by applying the framing effect theory. Further, the optimal implementation timing of the incentive schemes was explored by embedding the Lotka–Volterra model into the evolutionary game model. Through empirical simulation of the EOD case in China, the study reveals that the ecological restoration of BCE proceeds through three stages: The initial, middle, and mature stages. The findings suggest that the government adopt phased incentive measures, starting with ‘more subsidies and fewer penalties’ in the initial stage and transition to ‘fewer subsidies and more penalties’ in the middle stage. Finally, they should implement ‘moderate levels of both subsidies and penalties’ before eventually phasing out the incentives. Furthermore, the rising quantity and price of blue carbon, along with a positive information frame, drive enterprises’ participation in ecological restoration. Moreover, China should formulate stage-based ‘carrot-and-stick’ incentives, accelerate the development of the blue carbon market, and flexibly regulate the information frame. This study provides reference values for policy and strategy formulation to promote the development of BCE ecological restoration.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1007/s44312-026-00080-xfirst seen 2026-07-17 05:09:09
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