Does Green Transition Hurt the Poor? Evidence from Developing Countries
グリーン移行は貧困層を傷つけるのか？発展途上国からの証拠 (AI 翻訳)
Tai Lai Van, Monica Răileanu Szeles
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、2000年から2022年までの74の途上国の動的パネルデータを用いて、グリーン移行が貧困に与える影響を分析。再生可能エネルギーの生産、グリーンファイナンス、経済成長は貧困削減に寄与する一方、再生可能エネルギーの消費は貧困を悪化させる「グリーン移行パラドックス」を発見。需要側の移行が短期的に脆弱層に負担をかけることを示唆し、社会的保護や包摂的金融の必要性を強調。
English
Using dynamic panel data from 74 developing economies (2000-2022), this study finds a 'green transition paradox': renewable energy production, green finance, and growth reduce poverty, but renewable energy consumption increases it. Demand-side transition without supply capacity and institutional support burdens the poor. Policy implications stress aligning renewable expansion with social protection and inclusive finance.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX政策は途上国支援や国際協調を含むため、本研究成果はJICAやODAを通じた支援設計に示唆を与える。また、国内のエネルギー移行における社会的弱者への影響を考慮する上でも参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to global GX scholarship by disentangling supply and demand mechanisms of renewable energy and their distributional effects. It informs international policy debates on just transition, particularly for developing countries, and complements ISSB/CSRD disclosure frameworks by highlighting social dimensions of transition.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the distributional effects of green transition, useful for further research on just transition and energy policy.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the need for social safeguards and inclusive finance when implementing renewable energy projects in developing markets.
🏛政策担当者:Emphasizes aligning renewable energy expansion with social protection and skill development to avoid adverse poverty impacts.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study examines whether the green transition alleviates or exacerbates poverty in developing countries, utilizing a dynamic panel dataset of 74 developing economies from 2000 to 2022. The paper investigates four key dimensions of the green transition: ecological footprints, green finance (proxied by public investment in renewable energy), renewable energy production, and renewable energy consumption. The findings reveal a compelling “green transition paradox”. While renewable energy production, green finance, and economic growth contribute significantly to poverty reduction, renewable energy consumption is adversely associated with higher poverty levels. This suggests that, in the absence of sufficient supply capacity and robust institutional support, the demand-side transition toward renewable energy may impose short-term economic burdens on vulnerable populations. Furthermore, ecological footprint exhibits a poverty-reducing effect, underscoring the reliance on resource-intensive economic expansion in developing economies, albeit with potential long-term environmental trade-offs. The results remain robust across alternative model specifications and exhibit heterogeneous across income and regional groups. The study contributes to the extant literature by disentangling the supply and demand mechanisms of renewable energy, thereby highlighting the complex distributional consequences of green transition policies. Ultimately, the policy implications emphasize the critical need to align renewable energy expansion with social protection, skill development, and inclusive financial frameworks to ensure that green transformation fosters both environmental sustainability and poverty alleviation.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/en19143420first seen 2026-08-08 04:48:22
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