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China’s natural carrying capacity: its change and progress of decision-oriented study

中国の自然環境容量:その変化と意思決定志向研究の進展 (AI 翻訳)

Jie Fan, Jianxiong Wu, Xiang Gao, Baoying Liu, Kan Zhou, Dong Chen, Yafei Wang, Rui Guo, Hanchu Liu, Daojing Zhou

National Science Review📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-02#その他Origin: CN
DOI: 10.1093/nsr/nwag205
原典: https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwag205

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は中国における意思決定志向の自然環境容量(NCC)研究の進展を体系的にレビューする。当初は土地・水資源の単一要素評価から始まり、汶川地震後の復興を契機に総合評価システムへ発展、国土空間計画の基盤となった。地域の持続可能性評価や早期警戒指標も開発され、証拠に基づく政策立案を強化した。

English

This paper systematically reviews the progress of decision-oriented natural carrying capacity (NCC) research in China. Initially focused on single-factor assessments of land and water, it evolved into a comprehensive evaluation system integrating resources, environment, ecology, and disaster risks after the Wenchuan earthquake, becoming foundational for territorial spatial planning. Methods for suitability assessment and sustainability early warning were developed, strengthening evidence-based policymaking.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

中国のNCC研究は、国土空間計画や持続可能性評価の実践において日本の環境影響評価や国土利用計画(例:国土形成計画)と比較可能な知見を提供する。特に、災害リスクを考慮した総合評価手法は、日本における同様の枠組み(例:国土強靱化)への示唆となる。

In the global GX context

China's NCC research offers insights for global sustainable planning, particularly its integration of disaster risk and functional zoning. While not directly climate-focused, the decision-oriented framework parallels ecosystem-based adaptation and spatial planning in ISSB/TCFD contexts.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a comprehensive review of China's unique decision-oriented NCC research paradigm, useful for comparative sustainability science.

🏢実務担当者:Limited direct application; may inform spatial planning teams working on regional sustainability assessments.

🏛政策担当者:Offers lessons on how carrying capacity assessments can support evidence-based territorial planning.

📄 Abstract(原文)

ABSTRACT International research on planetary boundaries and social–ecological systems, which focuses on revealing the mechanisms of interaction among system elements, together with China’s decision-oriented research on natural carrying capacity (NCC), jointly constitute two important paradigms of sustainability research. This paper provides a systematic review of the progress of decision-oriented NCC research in China. The research began with single-factor carrying capacity assessments of land and water resources, focusing on how many people these resources could support and informing early population and resource management policies. Later, in response to the complex spatial planning demands posed by post-Wenchuan earthquake reconstruction, NCC research evolved into a comprehensive assessment system integrating resources, environmental conditions, ecological factors, and disaster risks, addressing challenges such as functional zoning, cross-scale application, and dynamic assessment, and ultimately becoming a foundational task of territorial spatial planning. On this basis, methods for territorial function suitability assessment and regional sustainability early warning were further developed, substantially strengthening NCC’s role in evidence-based decision-making. Although the interactions among elements within the Earth’s surface system remain incompletely understood, China’s NCC research has established a distinctive and viable pathway for decision-oriented NCC assessment. It also outlines future directions for deepening understanding of the system’s dynamic mechanisms and bridging regional and global sustainability boundaries.

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