プロジェクトライフサイクル全体におけるブルーカーボン事業のガバナンス（JKP郡）
Governing Blue Carbon Projects Across the Project Life Cycle (JKP Counties) (原題)
Martin Otundo Richard
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
ケニア沿岸JKP6郡のマングローブ・海草ブルーカーボン事業を対象に、空間リスクとデリバリー実績を評価するSRDPF枠組みを提案。郡レベルの空間リスク指数、7段階のガバナンスモデル、クレジット発行・収益・便益配分・永続性を結ぶデリバリー実績指数の3要素で構成する。炭素ストックよりもテナント・モニタリング・便益配分段階のガバナンスがクレジット供給と地域便益を左右すると論じる。
English
This paper proposes a Spatial Risk and Delivery-Performance Framework (SRDPF) for blue carbon projects across six coastal Kenyan counties, combining a county-level spatial risk index, a seven-stage governance model, and a delivery-performance index linking governance to credit issuance, revenue and permanence. Synthesizing secondary evidence and Kenya's 2024 carbon market regulations, it argues that governance at tenure, monitoring and benefit-distribution stages—not carbon stocks alone—determines whether credits are delivered and communities benefit.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でもJ-クレジットやブルーカーボン生態系の活用が政策課題となる中、事業ライフサイクルのガバナンスと便益配分の設計は、国内クレジット制度の品質・永続性議論に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
As voluntary and compliance carbon markets expand under Article 6 and ICVCM integrity standards, this framework offers a governance-and-delivery lens that complements stock-and-price analyses, relevant to global debates on credit integrity, permanence and community benefit-sharing.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:ブルーカーボン事業のガバナンスとデリバリー実績を定量化する枠組みと検証設計の出発点として有用。
🏢実務担当者:クレジット創出プロジェクトの設計段階で、テナント・モニタリング・便益配分のガバナンス要件を点検する際の参照枠になる。
🏛政策担当者:炭素市場規制と沿岸保全政策を接続する際、郡レベルのリスク評価と事業実績指標の設計に示唆を与える。
📄 Abstract（原文）
AbstractBlue carbon projects in mangrove and seagrass ecosystems are promoted as a way to finance coastal conservation while delivering community benefits, yet the literature has focused far more on carbon stocks and market prices than on how projects are governed and delivered. This paper develops a Spatial Risk and Delivery-Performance Framework (SRDPF) for blue carbon projects across the six Jumuiya ya Kaunti za Pwani (JKP) counties of coastal Kenya. It draws on a structured synthesis of secondary evidence: government and research estimates of mangrove and seagrass extent, published carbon-stock studies, project-level reports from Mikoko Pamoja, Vanga Blue Forest and the Lamu initiative, and the Climate Change (Carbon Markets) Regulations, 2024. The framework has three components: (i) a county-level Spatial Risk Index built from five risk domains; (ii) a seven-stage governance model of the blue carbon project life cycle; and (iii) a Delivery-Performance Index linking governance to credit issuance, revenue realisation, benefit distribution and permanence. A provisional county application shows that ecological pressure is concentrated where reported degradation is proportionally highest (Kwale, Kilifi, Lamu), while documented delivery experience is concentrated in Kwale. Five testable propositions are advanced. The central argument is that governance at the tenure, monitoring and benefit-distribution stages, and not2carbon stocks alone, is likely to determine whether credits are delivered and communities benefit. The paper closes with a validation design (GIS-based risk mapping, Delphi weighting and a PLS-SEM survey of project actors) and implications for county governments, regulators and developers.Keywords: blue carbon; mangroves; seagrass; carbon credits; project governance; spatial risk; Kenya; JKP
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23710914first seen 2026-10-29 04:54:44 · last seen 2026-11-06 04:55:19
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