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New Quality Productive Forces and Sustainable Green Total Factor Productivity: An Empirical Analysis of Their Interactive Linkages

新たな質的生産性要素と持続可能なグリーン全要素生産性:相互作用の実証分析 (AI 翻訳)

Hanbin Chen, Ziyun Wang, Xiaoyi Zhang

Sustainabilityプレプリント2026-01-29#政策Origin: CN
DOI: 10.3390/su18031366
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031366

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、中国のグリーン低炭素移行の要請に応え、新たな質的生産性要素がグリーン全要素生産性(GTFP)に与える影響を実証分析した。2011~2023年の中国30省のパネルデータを用いた固定効果モデルにより、新たな質的生産性要素はGTFPを有意に向上させることを発見。特に炭素強度の低い地域で効果が顕著であり、グリーン技術革新が媒介要因であること、グリーンファイナンスの発展レベルが閾値を超えると促進効果が強まる非線形効果も確認された。

English

This paper empirically examines how new quality productive forces (NQPF) impact green total factor productivity (GTFP) in China. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces (2011-2023) and a two-way fixed effects model, it finds that NQPF significantly boosts GTFP, especially in low-carbon-intensity regions. Green technology innovation mediates this effect, and green finance development has a non-linear dual-threshold effect, strengthening the promotion as thresholds are crossed.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

中国のグリーン発展政策の実証研究として、日本におけるグリーン投資や技術革新の生産性効果を評価する際の参考となる。特に、グリーンファイナンスの閾値効果は日本の地域実証にも示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper provides robust empirical evidence from China on how new quality productive forces (including green finance and green technology) drive green total factor productivity. The findings on non-linear green finance thresholds are relevant for global policymakers designing green growth strategies, though the specific Chinese policy context limits direct transferability.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the green productivity effects of new quality productive forces and the mediating role of green technology innovation, valuable for scholars in environmental economics and sustainable development.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the importance of green finance development thresholds and low-carbon intensity conditions for effective green growth policies, offering insights for designing targeted interventions.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Amidst the global drive toward sustainable development, this study responds to China’s pressing imperative for a green and low-carbon transition. The research begins by theoretically examining the viability and intrinsic mechanisms through which the cultivation of new-pattern productive forces can foster environmentally sound, high-quality economic growth. Subsequently, by leveraging panel data from 30 Chinese provinces covering the period 2011–2023, a two-way fixed-effects model is deployed to empirically assess the linkage between new-pattern productive forces and green total factor productivity (GTFP). The empirical results demonstrate the following: (1) New-pattern productive forces exert a statistically significant positive influence on GTFP—a finding that withstands multiple robustness checks; (2) Heterogeneity tests reveal that the GTFP-enhancing effect is pronounced in provinces with relatively low carbon intensity, whereas it remains insignificant in high-carbon-intensity regions; (3) Mechanism analysis identifies green technology innovation as a pivotal mediator in the process through which new-pattern productivity improves GTFP; (4) A non-linear, dual-threshold effect characterizes the relationship, wherein the GTFP-promoting impact of new-pattern productive forces strengthens progressively as the development level of green finance crosses successive thresholds. Collectively, these insights advance the understanding of how new-pattern productive forces enable GTFP gains, furnish novel evidence for steering high-quality economic development, and thereby support the broader global sustainability agenda.

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