気候政策優先度のパラドックスを検証する：気候変動の適応と緩和に対する政府の注意配分に関する実証分析

EXAMINING THE CLIMATE POLICY PRIORITY PARADOX: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF GOVERNMENTAL ATTENTIONAL ALLOCATION BETWEEN CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION AND MITIGATION (原題)

Charles Adesola Ajagbe, Gbenga Edward Oladokun, JUBRIL BABATUNDE JIMOH

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-28#政策

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.22140800

原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22140800

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、政府が気候変動の適応と緩和のどちらに政策の注意を配分するかを、公共機関・政策関係者200名への質問票調査と重回帰分析で検証した。適応と緩和への注意は政府の気候政策配分に有意に影響し、モデルは政策優先度の変動の61.0%を説明した。政治的コミットメント、制度的有効性、社会経済発展、市民の認知が配分を規定し、適応への配分が最も強い予測因子であった。適応と緩和の均衡・調整された配分が有効な気候ガバナンスに不可欠と結論づける。

English

This study examines how governments allocate policy attention between climate adaptation and mitigation, using a survey of 200 public-institution and policy stakeholders analyzed via multiple regression. Adaptation and mitigation attention jointly explained 61.0% of variation in policy priorities, with political commitment, institutional effectiveness, socioeconomic development, and public awareness as significant drivers. Adaptation allocation was the strongest predictor of climate governance outcomes. It concludes that balanced, coordinated attention to both strategies is essential for effective climate governance.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では適応策（気候変動適応法）と緩和策（GX推進・SSBJ開示）の政策統合が課題であり、政策配分の規定要因分析は国内の適応計画・GX政策の設計に示唆を与える。ただしナイジェリア事例のため直接の制度比較には限界がある。

In the global GX context

Amid global debates on adaptation finance versus mitigation under the Paris Agreement and the Global Goal on Adaptation, this paper offers empirical evidence on how governments trade off the two. It adds to disclosure scholarship by linking governance capacity to policy prioritization, though its single-country survey limits generalizability.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:適応・緩和の政策配分を規定する制度要因を定量化した実証枠組みとして参照可能。

🏢実務担当者:適応と緩和の両面で自社の気候戦略を統合する際の政策環境理解に資する。

🏛政策担当者:政治的コミットメントと制度調整が政策配分を左右する点は、適応・緩和統合型の政策設計に示唆を与える。

📄 Abstract（原文）

The need for governments to balance investments and policy attention between climate change adaptation and mitigation has intensified. Despite the complementary nature of these strategies, many governments continue to prioritize one over the other, creating a climate policy priority paradox that may undermine sustainable development and climate resilience. This study examined the governmental allocation of attention between climate change adaptation and mitigation and assessed the factors influencing policy prioritization and their implications for ICG. A quantitative research design was adopted, using a structured questionnaire administered to 200 participants drawn from relevant public institutions and climate policy stakeholders. Data were analyzed using multiple regression analysis to address the three research questions. The findings revealed that adaptation and mitigation policy attention jointly exerted a significant influence on governmental climate policy allocation, with the regression model explaining 61.0% of the variation in policy priorities (F(2,197)=154.03, p<.001, R²=.610). Furthermore, political commitment, institutional effectiveness, socioeconomic development, and public awareness significantly shaped governmental allocation of attention between adaptation and mitigation policies (F(4,195)=118.62, p<.001). The results also demonstrated that government allocation to adaptation (β=.384, p<.001) was the strongest predictor of ICG, whereas policy coordination (β=.318, p<.001) significantly enhanced SCG through improved institutional collaboration.The study concludes that effective climate governance requires a balanced and coordinated allocation of attention to adaptation and mitigation strategies. It recommends strengthening political commitment, enhancing institutional coordination, increasing public awareness, and promoting evidence-based policy frameworks that integrate adaptation and mitigation priorities to achieve long-term climate resilience and sustainable development.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

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