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Regional inequality of the European ETS-2

欧州ETS-2の地域的不平等 (AI 翻訳)

Perdana, Sigit, Vielle, Marc

Energy Policyプレプリント2026-01-01#炭素価格Origin: EU
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114891
原典: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114891

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

この研究は、EUの第2次排出量取引制度(ETS-2)が1160の欧州地域の世帯に与える分配効果を分析。2030年までにCO2価格が100ユーロ/トンになると、低所得者や地方世帯、大家族が不釣り合いに影響を受け、炭素価格の逆進性を確認。社会的気候基金(SCF)の資源配分への示唆を提供。

English

This study analyzes the distributional impacts of the EU's second Emissions Trading System (ETS-2) on households across 1160 European regions. Using household survey data and economic modeling, it finds that a projected €100/ton CO2 price by 2030 disproportionately affects low-income, rural households and larger families, confirming carbon pricing's regressive nature and informing the Social Climate Fund's design.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本ではカーボンプライシングの導入が検討されているが、この研究は地域間格差と逆進性の緩和策の重要性を示している。SSBJ開示においても、社会的側面を含めた移行計画開示の参考になる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides crucial empirical evidence on the regressive effects of carbon pricing across European regions, directly informing the design of compensation mechanisms like the EU's Social Climate Fund. Globally, it reinforces the need for just transition considerations within emission trading systems and carbon pricing policies, relevant to ISSB and other disclosure frameworks that address social equity.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:This paper offers a comprehensive regional analysis of ETS-2 distributional impacts, providing a methodology that can be applied to other carbon pricing contexts and informing the design of equitable climate policies.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams can use these findings to understand the social implications of carbon pricing on their value chains and to inform stakeholder engagement and just transition strategies.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers should note the strong regressive effects and the need for regionally targeted compensation; the Social Climate Fund design can be improved using these regional inequality maps.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study examines the distributional impacts of the EU’s second Emissions Trading System (ETS-2) on households across 1160 European regions, with a focus on the interaction between climate policy and social equity. Using household survey data, economic modeling, and spatial mapping, it evaluates the effects of a projected € 100 per ton CO2 price by 2030 on heating and transportation expenditures. Results indicate that low-income, rural households and larger families are disproportionately affected, with the strongest impacts observed in lower-GDP regions of Central and Eastern Europe. These findings confirm the regressive potential of carbon pricing and underscore the need for regionally tailored compensation measures. The Social Climate Fund (SCF), already established to mitigate such impacts, could benefit from these insights to guide the design and allocation of its resources, supporting an ETS-2 implementation that advances a climate transition which is both environmentally effective and socially equitable.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

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gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。