食料安全保障のための気候ストレス管理：気温上昇がアフリカの農業パフォーマンスに与える影響（1990–2022年）
Managing climate stress for food security: the impact of rising temperatures on agricultural performance in Africa (1990–2022) (原題)
MUBARAK ALIYU DANMARAYA, Ma Jie, Aminu Hassan Jakada, Ismail Aliyu Danmaraya, Sulaiman Muhammad Gusau
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
アフリカ34カ国・1990〜2022年のパネルデータを用い、気温上昇と炭素排出が農業パフォーマンス（AGP）に与える影響をP-ARDLモデルで分析。気温上昇と排出は短・長期ともにAGPを有意に低下させる一方、持続可能金融と人口増加は長期的にAGPと食料安全保障を押し上げることを示す。気候スマート農業と持続可能金融への投資を政策提言として導く。
English
Using panel econometrics (P-ARDL) on African data 1990–2022, the study finds rising temperatures and carbon emissions significantly reduce agricultural performance in both short and long run, while sustainable finance and population growth enhance long-term agricultural output and food security. It recommends climate-smart agriculture investment and sustainable finance as adaptation levers.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX文脈では直接の開示・炭素会計テーマではないが、気候リスクが食料安全保障・農業サプライチェーンに及ぶ経路を示す点は、食品・商社のTCFDシナリオ分析や適応策検討の参考になる。
In the global GX context
Adds empirical evidence on physical climate risk transmission to agriculture and food security, relevant to TCFD/ISSB physical-risk assessment and adaptation finance discussions, though it does not engage disclosure frameworks directly.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:気候変動と農業生産性の長短期動学をパネルARDLで識別した実証例として参照できる。
🏢実務担当者:食品・農業関連企業が気候物理リスクと適応投資の評価に活用できる。
🏛政策担当者:気候スマート農業と持続可能金融の政策優先度を裏付ける根拠となる。
📄 Abstract（原文）
Purpose Climate variation driven primarily by carbon emissions is a major driver of global warming, significantly raising Earth’s temperature. This study examines the influence of rising temperatures and carbon emissions on agricultural performance (AGP) in Africa from 1990 to 2022. The aim is to identify management policies that enhance sustainable agricultural resilience and moderate the adverse effects of climate change. Design/methodology/approach This research employs second-generation panel econometric techniques. The short- and long-run (LR) relationships between AGP, temperature, carbon emissions, sustainable finance and population growth are estimated using a Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (P-ARDL) model. Findings The results disclosed the fact that rising temperatures and carbon emissions significantly reduce AGP, highlighting the urgent need for proactive environmental management. Conversely, sustainable finance and population growth positively influence long-term AGP and food security. These variables emerge as crucial levers for climate adaptation and agricultural resilience across Africa. Practical implications Climate stress has made agricultural production more unpredictable and this threatens food security. The findings stress the need for integrated environmental and agricultural management policies. Hence, the study recommends that policymakers and financial institutions must prioritize investments in climate-smart agriculture and sustainable finance to address the challenges posed by climate variation, ensuring sustainable agricultural resilience and food security. Originality/value This study provides new evidence on the links between rising temperatures, carbon emissions, sustainable finance, population growth and AGP in Africa by jointly examining their short-run and LR dynamics within a panel framework, thereby offering policy-relevant insights for climate-resilient agricultural and financial strategies.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1108/meq-10-2025-0681first seen 2026-10-28 05:04:31 · last seen 2026-11-06 05:03:33
🔔 こうした論文の新着を逃したくない方は キーワードアラート に登録（無料・3キーワードまで）。
gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。