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発展途上国における貿易開放度、エネルギー依存度、炭素排出ギャップ:CS-ARDLおよびCCEMG分析

Trade openness, energy dependence, and the carbon emissions gap in developing economies: a CS-ARDL and CCEMG analysis (原題)

Ridwan Lanre Ibrahim, Abiodun Toheeb Emiola, Abdul Rahman Bin S. Senathirajah, Sayeeduzzafar Qazi, Rasheedul Haquee, Khurshid Khudoykulov

Cogent Economics & Finance📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-20#炭素会計Origin: Global経営インパクト: 調達リスク対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2026.2717456
原典: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2026.2717456
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、発展途上国30カ国(サブサハラアフリカ・東南アジア)のパネルデータを用い、貿易開放度とエネルギー依存度が生産ベース・消費ベース排出量および炭素ギャップに与える影響を分析。CS-ARDLとCCEMG推計により、貿易開放度は排出量と炭素ギャップを増加させ、エネルギー純輸入は消費ベース排出を増加させることを示した。制度的質と再生可能エネルギー導入は排出負担を軽減する。消費ベース会計の重要性を提唱。

English

This study analyzes how trade openness and energy dependence affect production-based, consumption-based emissions, and the carbon gap in 30 developing countries using CS-ARDL and CCEMG estimators. Findings show trade openness increases emissions and the carbon gap, while net energy imports raise consumption-based emissions. Institutional quality and renewable energy reduce burdens. Advocates integrating consumption-based accounting into policy.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策では、サプライチェーン排出(Scope 3)の把握が重要であり、消費ベース会計の知見は日本企業の海外調達や輸出時の排出管理に示唆を与える。また、カーボンボーダー調整措置の議論にも関連する。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global debates on carbon border adjustments and consumption-based accounting, relevant to EU CBAM and ISSB disclosure standards. It provides empirical evidence from developing countries, highlighting the need for equitable climate policy.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on trade-emissions nexus in developing countries, useful for carbon accounting research.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of consumption-based emissions for supply chain management and carbon reporting.

🏛政策担当者:Informs carbon border policies and the integration of consumption-based metrics into SDG monitoring.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Globalization has redefined carbon responsibility, allowing emissions generated in one region to support consumption elsewhere while obscuring environmental accountability under territorial accounting. This study examines how trade openness, energy dependence, and institutional quality shape carbon emissions in developing economies. Using an unbalanced panel of 30 low-emission countries across Sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia from 1996–2022, emissions are disaggregated into production-based emissions, consumption-based emissions, and the carbon gap. Employing Cross-Sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) and Common Correlated Effects Mean Group (CCEMG) estimators, the study examines short- and long-run dynamics. Trade openness significantly increases production-based emissions (0.042, p < 0.05), consumption-based emissions (0.074, p < 0.01), and the carbon gap (0.032, p < 0.10), while net energy imports increase consumption-based emissions (0.081, p < 0.01). Trade openness and energy dependence jointly amplify emissions outsourcing, whereas institutional quality and renewable energy adoption reduce emissions burdens. Sub-Saharan Africa exhibits greater exposure to imported emissions than Southeast Asia. The findings demonstrate that territorial accounting understates environmental responsibility and support integrating consumption-based accounting into sustainability metrics, carbon-border policies, and SDG monitoring to strengthen equitable environmental accountability.

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