パキスタンにおけるエネルギー消費と工業成長

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:新興国におけるエネルギー・成長ネクサスのARDL実証の一例として参照可能。

🏢実務担当者:パキスタンに調達拠点を持つ企業はエネルギー供給リスク評価の参考にできる。

🏛政策担当者:エネルギー供給安定とマクロ安定の両立が工業政策の鍵となる点を示唆。

Industrial growth plays a vital role in the economic development of Pakistan by contributing to employment generation, productivity enhancement, and national income. This study examines the impact of energy consumption on industrial growth in Pakistan using annual time-series data from 1976 to 2024. Industrial growth is measured through industrial value added, while energy consumption is considered the primary explanatory variable. In addition, trade openness, inflation, and labour force participation are included as control variables to capture the broader macroeconomic environment affecting industrial performance. The study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to investigate both short-run and long-run relationships among the variables. The empirical findings confirm the existence of a long-run cointegrating relationship between energy consumption and industrial growth. The results indicate that energy consumption, trade openness, and labour force participation positively contribute to industrial development, whereas inflation exerts an adverse effect on industrial performance. The study highlights the importance of ensuring a reliable energy supply, maintaining macroeconomic stability, and promoting trade and workforce development to achieve sustainable industrial growth in Pakistan. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers in designing effective energy and industrial policies. References Abbasi, K. R., Adedoyin, F. F., Abbas, J., & Hussain, K. (2021). The impact of energy consumption and economic growth on carbon emissions: Evidence from Pakistan using a dynamic ARDL simulations approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(15), 19234–19247. Abdoli, G., Farahani, Y. G., & Dastan, S. (2015). Electricity consumption and economic growth in OPEC countries: A cointegrated panel analysis. 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