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気候変動がEUの移民動態に与える影響:課題と将来展望

The Impact of Climate Change on Migration Dynamics in the European Union: Challenges and Future Perspectives (原題)

Yakubova Iroda

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-10#気候科学Origin: EU
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21875499
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21875499

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は気候変動がEUの移民動態に与える影響を、理論的枠組み・実証的傾向・政策対応の観点から定性的に分析する。気候変動は脅威の増幅要因として社会経済的不平等や政治的不安定性と相互作用し、EU域内外の人口移動を促進する。政策の断片化や環境避難民の法的保護の欠如などの課題を指摘し、適応策と統合的ガバナンスの必要性を提言する。

English

This paper qualitatively analyzes how climate change shapes EU migration dynamics, examining theoretical frameworks, empirical trends, and policy responses. It argues that climate change acts as a threat multiplier, interacting with socioeconomic inequalities and political instability. It identifies challenges such as policy fragmentation and legal protection gaps for environmentally displaced persons, and proposes strategic paths for climate adaptation and unified migration governance.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では気候変動による移民・移住問題は直接的には顕在化していないが、サプライチェーンを通じた間接的な影響や、国際的な気候政策との連動という観点で参考になる。日本のGX政策においては、気候変動の社会的影響を考慮した適応策の重要性を示唆する。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global discussions on climate-induced migration, a growing concern for international policy frameworks. It highlights the need for integrated governance and legal protections, which are relevant to global climate adaptation and human security agendas.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:気候変動と移民の関連性に関する理論的枠組みとEUの政策課題の整理として有用。

🏛政策担当者:気候変動適応策と移民政策の統合を検討する際の参考になる。

📄 Abstract(原文)

Climate change has emerged as a defining global challenge of the twenty-first century, deeply altering economic systems, environmental sustainability, human security, and human mobility. Environmental degradation, rising temperatures, sea-level rise, and escalating extreme weather events increasingly drive population movements both within and across national borders. While traditionally viewed primarily as a destination for international migrants, the European Union (EU) faces growing climate-induced mobility pressures from both internal shifts and external inflows. Rather than acting as an isolated, direct cause, climate change operates as a threat multiplier, such as interacting with existing socioeconomic inequalities, political instability, localized labor dynamics, and demographic trends. This article evaluates how climate change shapes EU migration dynamics by analyzing contemporary theoretical frameworks, empirical trends, and policy responses. Adopting a qualitative methodology rooted in literature analysis and secondary data from international institutions, this paper maps the core challenges facing the EU, including policy fragmentation, legal protection gaps for environmentally displaced persons, and regional disparities. Finally, it outlines strategic paths to strengthen climate adaptation and build unified migration governance mechanisms within the European framework.

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