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Agricultural Land Use Change and Environmental Quality Nexus: Implications for Sustainable Development Goals 11, 13, and 15

農業土地利用変化と環境質の関係:持続可能な開発目標11、13、15への示唆 (AI 翻訳)

Shah Fahad, Aftab Khan, Muhammad Luqman, Yang Liu

Sustainable Development📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-23#気候科学
DOI: 10.1002/sd.71062
原典: https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.71062

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究はパキスタンにおける農地、放牧地、森林面積の変化がCO2排出に与える影響を1990-2021年のデータを用いて分析。森林面積の増加は短期的に25.98%、長期的に17.10%の排出削減効果を持つ一方、放牧地は排出を増加させる。農地も排出削減に寄与。持続可能な土地管理が気候緩和とSDGs達成に重要と結論。

English

This study examines the impact of arable land, grazing land, and forest area changes on CO2 emissions in Pakistan from 1990-2021 using ARDL. Forest area reduces emissions by 25.98% short-run and 17.10% long-run; grazing land increases emissions. Arable land also reduces emissions. Results highlight land-use management for climate mitigation and SDGs.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

パキスタンのケーススタディだが、日本では森林管理や農地転用がGX政策(例:カーボンクレジット、J-クレジット)と結びつく可能性がある。直接的な開示基準への影響は限定的。

In the global GX context

While focused on Pakistan, this paper provides empirical evidence on land-use carbon effects relevant to nature-based solutions and climate mitigation. For global GX context, it supports the inclusion of land-use change in carbon accounting and national inventories.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical estimates of land-use emission elasticities in a developing country context, useful for carbon accounting and land-use modeling.

🏛政策担当者:Informs land-use policy for climate mitigation, suggesting afforestation and sustainable grazing management as tools for SDG 13.

📄 Abstract(原文)

ABSTRACT This study examines how changes in arable land, grazing land, and forest area influence environmental quality in Pakistan and their implications for achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs) 11, 13, and 15. Using annual data from 1990 to 2021 and an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, the study estimates the short and long‐run effects of land‐use change on carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. The findings show that forest area significantly reduces CO 2 emissions: a 1% increase in forest area decreases emissions by 25.98% in the short run and 17.10% in the long run. In contrast, grazing land increases emissions, with a 1% increase raising CO 2 emissions by 1.55% in the short run and 1.02% in the long run. Arable land is associated with lower emissions, as a 1% increase reduces CO 2 emissions by 2.26% in the short run and 1.49% in the long run. These results highlight the importance of land‐use management for climate mitigation, ecosystem protection, and sustainable urban development in Pakistan. The study therefore underscores the need for policies that promote afforestation, regulated grazing, and sustainable agricultural land management to advance national sustainability commitments. Further these findings suggest that sustainable land management strategies, such as reforestation and efficient agricultural land use, can help mitigate CO 2 emissions and advance the achievement of SDGs.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。