Energy Policy Pathways for Balancing Hydrocarbon Production, Energy Transition, and Renewable Integration in Nigeria's Oil and Gas Sector
ナイジェリアの石油・ガス部門における炭化水素生産、エネルギー転換、再生可能エネルギー統合のバランスをとるためのエネルギーポリシーの経路 (AI 翻訳)
H. A. Teriba, G. Ajayi, A. B. Osanyinpeju, M. David, E. I. Oyekoya, O. O. Oladipupo, A. O. Bankole
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
ナイジェリアの石油・ガス部門の脱炭素化経路を分析。ガス依存の電力システムと高い排出原単位を背景に、2030年・2050年までの4シナリオをモデル化。ハイブリッド経路が最も実現可能で、フレアガス回収は約3GWの電力と年6MtCO₂削減に寄与。政策調整と制度統合の必要性を提言。
English
This study evaluates decarbonization pathways for Nigeria's oil and gas sector, modeling four scenarios to 2030 and 2050. A hybrid pathway combining gas expansion with renewables is most feasible, while flare gas recovery could add ~3 GW power and cut 6 MtCO₂ annually. Policy tensions and institutional fragmentation are key barriers.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本ではSSBJ開示やGX推進が進む中、資源国におけるエネルギー転換の実証分析は、日本のエネルギー政策や海外投資判断に示唆を与える。特に、ガスを橋渡しとするハイブリッド戦略は、日本のLNG調達や技術輸出の観点で参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on balancing hydrocarbon production with renewables in a resource-dependent economy, relevant to global transition finance and just transition debates. It highlights policy coordination and flare gas recovery as actionable strategies, offering lessons for other fossil-fuel-dependent countries.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides scenario modeling and empirical data on Nigeria's energy transition, useful for comparative studies on fossil-fuel-dependent economies.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights flare gas recovery and hybrid pathways that could inform corporate strategy in oil and gas operations.
🏛政策担当者:Offers policy recommendations on coordination and transition funds that could be adapted to other resource-rich countries.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Nigeria's oil and gas sector is central to its economy but faces rising decarbonization pressure. The country's electricity system is 82% gas-dependent yet severely underutilized, with energy-sector emissions reaching ~109 MtCO₂ in 2024 at one of the world's highest emissions intensities. This study evaluates pathways balancing hydrocarbon production, energy transition, and renewables integration. Using a mixed-methods approach, the study analyzes energy data (2015–2024) and key policies, including the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 and the Energy Transition Plan (ETP) 2022, and models four scenarios to 2030 and 2050. Installed capacity grew from 10,395 MW in 2015 to 13,365 MW in 2024, still dominated by gas (81.9%). Gas flaring fell from 18.8% to 7.7%, yet 192 BCF flared annually represents significant waste. Scenario modelling shows a Hybrid Pathway combining strategic gas expansion with accelerated renewables as the most feasible. The Accelerated Renewables scenario offers the lowest long-term emissions but requires over 100% annual solar growth and $8-10 billion in investment. Recovering flare gas could generate nearly 3 GW of power while cutting emissions by up to 6 MtCO₂ annually. Policy tensions exist between the PIA's gas incentives and the ETP's net-zero targets. Institutional fragmentation across five agencies compounds delays, evidenced by the gap between flare site awards and operational projects. The study concludes Nigeria's transition hinges on hydrocarbon-renewable hybridization, with gas as a bridge. Key recommendations include creating a transition coordination council, dedicating 5-10% of hydrocarbon revenues to a transition fund, and integrating flare gas recovery with power infrastructure planning.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.2118/235085-msfirst seen 2026-08-14 05:26:03
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